**Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s August 8 high near 26°C under mostly sunny to scattered-cloud conditions with light southeasterly winds.** This consensus supports the market’s tight clustering around 25–27°C, as modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing keeps probabilities balanced among those three outcomes. The setup reflects a transient ridge of high pressure that has suppressed widespread cloudiness across the Low Countries in recent days, allowing stronger daytime heating than the August climatological average of roughly 22°C. Minor differences in forecast soundings—particularly the depth of the mixed layer and any subtle moisture advection from the continent—account for the near-even odds between 26°C and 27°C, while cooler or warmer tails remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official KNMI guidance through the weekend will provide the next clear signals for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 8?
26°C 36%
27°C 27%
25°C 24%
24°C 10%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
24%
26°C
36%
27°C
27%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 36%
27°C 27%
25°C 24%
24°C 10%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
24%
26°C
36%
27°C
27%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s August 8 high near 26°C under mostly sunny to scattered-cloud conditions with light southeasterly winds.** This consensus supports the market’s tight clustering around 25–27°C, as modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing keeps probabilities balanced among those three outcomes. The setup reflects a transient ridge of high pressure that has suppressed widespread cloudiness across the Low Countries in recent days, allowing stronger daytime heating than the August climatological average of roughly 22°C. Minor differences in forecast soundings—particularly the depth of the mixed layer and any subtle moisture advection from the continent—account for the near-even odds between 26°C and 27°C, while cooler or warmer tails remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official KNMI guidance through the weekend will provide the next clear signals for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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