Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate Paris nighttime lows near 14–16 °C on August 8, driving the tight market spread between 14 °C (37 %) and 15 °C (29 %). Key factors include radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, light winds limiting mixing, and the urban heat-island effect that typically keeps central Paris 1–2 °C warmer than rural surroundings. Minor model differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture explain the 1 °C spread; clearer, drier conditions favor the lower end while increased humidity or residual cloud could hold temperatures near 15–16 °C. Updated model runs expected tomorrow will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 8?
14°C 50%
15°C 32%
13°C 13%
18°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 8, 2026
11°C or below
5%
12°C
8%
13°C
13%
14°C
50%
15°C
32%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
10%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
14°C 50%
15°C 32%
13°C 13%
18°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 8, 2026
11°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
5%
12°C
$2 ปริมาณ
8%
13°C
$2 ปริมาณ
13%
14°C
$605 ปริมาณ
50%
15°C
$65 ปริมาณ
32%
16°C
$7 ปริมาณ
5%
17°C
$29 ปริมาณ
5%
18°C
$264 ปริมาณ
10%
19°C
$264 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate Paris nighttime lows near 14–16 °C on August 8, driving the tight market spread between 14 °C (37 %) and 15 °C (29 %). Key factors include radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, light winds limiting mixing, and the urban heat-island effect that typically keeps central Paris 1–2 °C warmer than rural surroundings. Minor model differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture explain the 1 °C spread; clearer, drier conditions favor the lower end while increased humidity or residual cloud could hold temperatures near 15–16 °C. Updated model runs expected tomorrow will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,268วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate Paris nighttime lows near 14–16 °C on August 8, driving the tight market spread between 14 °C (37 %) and 15 °C (29 %). Key factors include radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, light winds limiting mixing, and the urban heat-island effect that typically keeps central Paris 1–2 °C warmer than rural surroundings. Minor model differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture explain the 1 °C spread; clearer, drier conditions favor the lower end while increased humidity or residual cloud could hold temperatures near 15–16 °C. Updated model runs expected tomorrow will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,268วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate Paris nighttime lows near 14–16 °C on August 8, driving the tight market spread between 14 °C (37 %) and 15 °C (29 %). Key factors include radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, light winds limiting mixing, and the urban heat-island effect that typically keeps central Paris 1–2 °C warmer than rural surroundings. Minor model differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture explain the 1 °C spread; clearer, drier conditions favor the lower end while increased humidity or residual cloud could hold temperatures near 15–16 °C. Updated model runs expected tomorrow will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย