Recent forecast models indicate Beijing's August 6 high will likely fall between 36–38°C, driven by a persistent warm air mass under mostly cloudy skies with afternoon humidity near 55% and light southerly winds. Ensemble runs show modest spread from variable cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm potential, which could suppress peak heating by 1–2°C if convection develops earlier than expected. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies highlights typical August conditions with highs averaging near 30–33°C but occasional spikes above 35°C during the first half of the month. Trader consensus around 37°C reflects this narrow range of model outcomes and limited time for new data before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on August 6?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 6?
37°C 36%
38°C 33%
39°C 16%
36°C 13%
ใหม่
$23,136 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,136 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
13%
37°C
36%
38°C
33%
39°C
16%
40°C or higher
2%
37°C 36%
38°C 33%
39°C 16%
36°C 13%
ใหม่
$23,136 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,136 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
$343 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$323 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$643 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$2,416 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$1,708 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$1,209 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$7,320 ปริมาณ
13%
37°C
$4,195 ปริมาณ
36%
38°C
$2,145 ปริมาณ
33%
39°C
$1,550 ปริมาณ
16%
40°C or higher
$1,655 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate Beijing's August 6 high will likely fall between 36–38°C, driven by a persistent warm air mass under mostly cloudy skies with afternoon humidity near 55% and light southerly winds. Ensemble runs show modest spread from variable cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm potential, which could suppress peak heating by 1–2°C if convection develops earlier than expected. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies highlights typical August conditions with highs averaging near 30–33°C but occasional spikes above 35°C during the first half of the month. Trader consensus around 37°C reflects this narrow range of model outcomes and limited time for new data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,136วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate Beijing's August 6 high will likely fall between 36–38°C, driven by a persistent warm air mass under mostly cloudy skies with afternoon humidity near 55% and light southerly winds. Ensemble runs show modest spread from variable cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm potential, which could suppress peak heating by 1–2°C if convection develops earlier than expected. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies highlights typical August conditions with highs averaging near 30–33°C but occasional spikes above 35°C during the first half of the month. Trader consensus around 37°C reflects this narrow range of model outcomes and limited time for new data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,136วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate Beijing's August 6 high will likely fall between 36–38°C, driven by a persistent warm air mass under mostly cloudy skies with afternoon humidity near 55% and light southerly winds. Ensemble runs show modest spread from variable cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm potential, which could suppress peak heating by 1–2°C if convection develops earlier than expected. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies highlights typical August conditions with highs averaging near 30–33°C but occasional spikes above 35°C during the first half of the month. Trader consensus around 37°C reflects this narrow range of model outcomes and limited time for new data before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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