Current National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 75°F under sunny conditions with west-southwest winds, consistent with the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for a 72-73°F peak. This positioning reflects San Francisco's characteristic marine influence, where coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and the persistent summer marine layer moderate temperatures well below inland norms, aligning with August climatology of highs typically between 65-73°F. Trader consensus incorporates real-time model runs showing limited warming potential today. A stronger offshore flow or delayed marine layer could push readings into the mid-70s, while earlier fog or stronger onshore winds would cap them lower; official KSFO observations will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 4?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 4?
72-73°F 98%
74-75°F 2%
76-77°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$44,152 ปริมาณ
$44,152 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
98%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 98%
74-75°F 2%
76-77°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$44,152 ปริมาณ
$44,152 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
67°F or below
$1,466 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$1,620 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$5,959 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$8,261 ปริมาณ
98%
74-75°F
$3,398 ปริมาณ
2%
76-77°F
$3,455 ปริมาณ
1%
78-79°F
$3,952 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$5,267 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$4,037 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$4,417 ปริมาณ
<1%
86°F or higher
$2,319 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 75°F under sunny conditions with west-southwest winds, consistent with the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for a 72-73°F peak. This positioning reflects San Francisco's characteristic marine influence, where coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and the persistent summer marine layer moderate temperatures well below inland norms, aligning with August climatology of highs typically between 65-73°F. Trader consensus incorporates real-time model runs showing limited warming potential today. A stronger offshore flow or delayed marine layer could push readings into the mid-70s, while earlier fog or stronger onshore winds would cap them lower; official KSFO observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,152วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 75°F under sunny conditions with west-southwest winds, consistent with the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for a 72-73°F peak. This positioning reflects San Francisco's characteristic marine influence, where coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and the persistent summer marine layer moderate temperatures well below inland norms, aligning with August climatology of highs typically between 65-73°F. Trader consensus incorporates real-time model runs showing limited warming potential today. A stronger offshore flow or delayed marine layer could push readings into the mid-70s, while earlier fog or stronger onshore winds would cap them lower; official KSFO observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,152วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 75°F under sunny conditions with west-southwest winds, consistent with the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for a 72-73°F peak. This positioning reflects San Francisco's characteristic marine influence, where coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and the persistent summer marine layer moderate temperatures well below inland norms, aligning with August climatology of highs typically between 65-73°F. Trader consensus incorporates real-time model runs showing limited warming potential today. A stronger offshore flow or delayed marine layer could push readings into the mid-70s, while earlier fog or stronger onshore winds would cap them lower; official KSFO observations will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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