Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by El Niño-driven above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026, underpin trader consensus around 34–35°C as the most likely peak for Seoul (Incheon) on August 5. Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations show recent daily highs of 32–33°C in the Seoul area amid widespread heat alerts, with extreme readings reaching 42.5°C elsewhere on August 2. Short-range models indicate continued clear skies and light winds that favor afternoon maxima in the mid-30s, though local urban heat-island effects and precise steering patterns introduce narrow uncertainty between the 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C brackets. Updated KMA guidance and model consensus expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine the outlook ahead of the market’s noon KST resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
34°C 74%
35°C 27%
36°C 3%
37°C or higher <1%
ใหม่
$73,539 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$73,539 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
74%
35°C
27%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 74%
35°C 27%
36°C 3%
37°C or higher <1%
ใหม่
$73,539 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$73,539 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
$765 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$627 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$872 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$5,520 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$3,863 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$9,592 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$11,275 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$10,726 ปริมาณ
74%
35°C
$13,017 ปริมาณ
27%
36°C
$11,528 ปริมาณ
3%
37°C or higher
$7,292 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by El Niño-driven above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026, underpin trader consensus around 34–35°C as the most likely peak for Seoul (Incheon) on August 5. Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations show recent daily highs of 32–33°C in the Seoul area amid widespread heat alerts, with extreme readings reaching 42.5°C elsewhere on August 2. Short-range models indicate continued clear skies and light winds that favor afternoon maxima in the mid-30s, though local urban heat-island effects and precise steering patterns introduce narrow uncertainty between the 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C brackets. Updated KMA guidance and model consensus expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine the outlook ahead of the market’s noon KST resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,539วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by El Niño-driven above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026, underpin trader consensus around 34–35°C as the most likely peak for Seoul (Incheon) on August 5. Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations show recent daily highs of 32–33°C in the Seoul area amid widespread heat alerts, with extreme readings reaching 42.5°C elsewhere on August 2. Short-range models indicate continued clear skies and light winds that favor afternoon maxima in the mid-30s, though local urban heat-island effects and precise steering patterns introduce narrow uncertainty between the 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C brackets. Updated KMA guidance and model consensus expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine the outlook ahead of the market’s noon KST resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,539วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by El Niño-driven above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026, underpin trader consensus around 34–35°C as the most likely peak for Seoul (Incheon) on August 5. Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations show recent daily highs of 32–33°C in the Seoul area amid widespread heat alerts, with extreme readings reaching 42.5°C elsewhere on August 2. Short-range models indicate continued clear skies and light winds that favor afternoon maxima in the mid-30s, though local urban heat-island effects and precise steering patterns introduce narrow uncertainty between the 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C brackets. Updated KMA guidance and model consensus expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine the outlook ahead of the market’s noon KST resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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