Current numerical weather models and forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather project a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 6 under mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with typical mid-summer conditions in the region, where average August highs reach about 32°C amid seasonal monsoon influences. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the absence of strong warming signals or stalled high-pressure systems in the latest runs. Updated guidance through the evening of August 5 will refine the final maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 6?
34°C 38%
33°C 27%
32°C 14%
35°C 9.5%
ใหม่
$46,321 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$46,321 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
14%
33°C
27%
34°C
38%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 38%
33°C 27%
32°C 14%
35°C 9.5%
ใหม่
$46,321 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$46,321 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
$1,329 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,668 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$2,113 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$5,454 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C
$1,959 ปริมาณ
14%
33°C
$9,107 ปริมาณ
27%
34°C
$4,373 ปริมาณ
38%
35°C
$9,693 ปริมาณ
10%
36°C
$5,364 ปริมาณ
3%
37°C
$1,856 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C or higher
$3,407 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models and forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather project a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 6 under mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with typical mid-summer conditions in the region, where average August highs reach about 32°C amid seasonal monsoon influences. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the absence of strong warming signals or stalled high-pressure systems in the latest runs. Updated guidance through the evening of August 5 will refine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,321วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models and forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather project a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 6 under mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with typical mid-summer conditions in the region, where average August highs reach about 32°C amid seasonal monsoon influences. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the absence of strong warming signals or stalled high-pressure systems in the latest runs. Updated guidance through the evening of August 5 will refine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,321วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models and forecasts from agencies including the BBC and AccuWeather project a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 6 under mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with typical mid-summer conditions in the region, where average August highs reach about 32°C amid seasonal monsoon influences. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the absence of strong warming signals or stalled high-pressure systems in the latest runs. Updated guidance through the evening of August 5 will refine the final maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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