Recent forecasts for Wuhan point to a maximum temperature near 36°C on August 6, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate with high humidity and typical August diurnal heating patterns. Official guidance and ensemble models show limited potential for stronger daytime warming or cooling from thundery showers, creating tight differentiation between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes that currently dominate trader positioning. Historical August highs average 32–33°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any revised China Meteorological Administration outlooks remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between these closely matched levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 6?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 6?
37°C 36%
36°C 34%
35°C 16%
38°C 9%
ใหม่
$11,548 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,548 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
6%
35°C
16%
36°C
34%
37°C
36%
38°C
9%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
37°C 36%
36°C 34%
35°C 16%
38°C 9%
ใหม่
$11,548 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,548 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
$242 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$484 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$280 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$377 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$252 ปริมาณ
6%
35°C
$3,251 ปริมาณ
16%
36°C
$2,249 ปริมาณ
34%
37°C
$3,477 ปริมาณ
36%
38°C
$532 ปริมาณ
9%
39°C
$139 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C or higher
$264 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan point to a maximum temperature near 36°C on August 6, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate with high humidity and typical August diurnal heating patterns. Official guidance and ensemble models show limited potential for stronger daytime warming or cooling from thundery showers, creating tight differentiation between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes that currently dominate trader positioning. Historical August highs average 32–33°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any revised China Meteorological Administration outlooks remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between these closely matched levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,548วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan point to a maximum temperature near 36°C on August 6, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate with high humidity and typical August diurnal heating patterns. Official guidance and ensemble models show limited potential for stronger daytime warming or cooling from thundery showers, creating tight differentiation between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes that currently dominate trader positioning. Historical August highs average 32–33°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any revised China Meteorological Administration outlooks remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between these closely matched levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,548วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan point to a maximum temperature near 36°C on August 6, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate with high humidity and typical August diurnal heating patterns. Official guidance and ensemble models show limited potential for stronger daytime warming or cooling from thundery showers, creating tight differentiation between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes that currently dominate trader positioning. Historical August highs average 32–33°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any revised China Meteorological Administration outlooks remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between these closely matched levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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