Official observations from National Weather Service stations including LaGuardia Airport recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F in New York City on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the 100% market-implied odds for that bracket. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge, with daytime heating moderated by moderate humidity and light winds rather than extreme heat advection. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park provide climatological context, and the tight consensus stems from verified post-event data rather than forecasts. Only a rare station malfunction or post-resolution data revision could alter the result, scenarios traders view as negligible given multiple redundant reporting sites.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 4?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 4?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$66,216 ปริมาณ
$66,216 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$66,216 ปริมาณ
$66,216 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
73°F or below
$488 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$513 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$841 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$7,869 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$13,659 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$13,515 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$12,654 ปริมาณ
Yes
86-87°F
$7,478 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$4,974 ปริมาณ
No
90-91°F
$3,406 ปริมาณ
No
92°F or higher
$819 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations including LaGuardia Airport recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F in New York City on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the 100% market-implied odds for that bracket. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge, with daytime heating moderated by moderate humidity and light winds rather than extreme heat advection. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park provide climatological context, and the tight consensus stems from verified post-event data rather than forecasts. Only a rare station malfunction or post-resolution data revision could alter the result, scenarios traders view as negligible given multiple redundant reporting sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,216วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations including LaGuardia Airport recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F in New York City on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the 100% market-implied odds for that bracket. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge, with daytime heating moderated by moderate humidity and light winds rather than extreme heat advection. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park provide climatological context, and the tight consensus stems from verified post-event data rather than forecasts. Only a rare station malfunction or post-resolution data revision could alter the result, scenarios traders view as negligible given multiple redundant reporting sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,216วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from National Weather Service stations including LaGuardia Airport recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F in New York City on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the 100% market-implied odds for that bracket. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge, with daytime heating moderated by moderate humidity and light winds rather than extreme heat advection. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park provide climatological context, and the tight consensus stems from verified post-event data rather than forecasts. Only a rare station malfunction or post-resolution data revision could alter the result, scenarios traders view as negligible given multiple redundant reporting sites.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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