Traders see 27°C and 28°C as nearly even because current ensemble forecasts place Incheon’s overnight minimum right at the boundary between those values under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. Model consensus shows modest radiative cooling limited by elevated humidity and light southerly flow, with slight differences in cloud-cover timing creating the narrow spread. Historical August minima near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent seasonal warmth has kept readings higher. The Korea Meteorological Administration and global model updates expected over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the implied probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 7?
29°C 34%
26°C 9%
30°C 7%
31°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
40%
28°C
47%
29°C
34%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 34%
26°C 9%
30°C 7%
31°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
23°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$45 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$32 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
27°C
$30 ปริมาณ
40%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
30°C
$22 ปริมาณ
7%
31°C
$50 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C or higher
$45 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 27°C and 28°C as nearly even because current ensemble forecasts place Incheon’s overnight minimum right at the boundary between those values under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. Model consensus shows modest radiative cooling limited by elevated humidity and light southerly flow, with slight differences in cloud-cover timing creating the narrow spread. Historical August minima near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent seasonal warmth has kept readings higher. The Korea Meteorological Administration and global model updates expected over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$286วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 27°C and 28°C as nearly even because current ensemble forecasts place Incheon’s overnight minimum right at the boundary between those values under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. Model consensus shows modest radiative cooling limited by elevated humidity and light southerly flow, with slight differences in cloud-cover timing creating the narrow spread. Historical August minima near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent seasonal warmth has kept readings higher. The Korea Meteorological Administration and global model updates expected over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$286วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 27°C and 28°C as nearly even because current ensemble forecasts place Incheon’s overnight minimum right at the boundary between those values under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. Model consensus shows modest radiative cooling limited by elevated humidity and light southerly flow, with slight differences in cloud-cover timing creating the narrow spread. Historical August minima near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent seasonal warmth has kept readings higher. The Korea Meteorological Administration and global model updates expected over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the implied probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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