Recent forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate Munich's August 5 high will likely peak near 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, limiting further warming from advection while allowing urban heat island effects to contribute 1–2°C locally. Diurnal heating peaks midday, moderated by expected afternoon cloud cover and low humidity that caps convective potential. These conditions explain the tight 38.5% implied probabilities on 33°C and 34°C, with lower odds on 35°C reflecting model spread and slight cooling risks from timing of any showers. Historical August maxima average 24–26°C, underscoring today's anomaly driven by persistent high pressure. Traders should monitor real-time station data through evening for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on August 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 5?
33°C 39%
34°C 39%
35°C 14%
32°C 11%
ใหม่
$49,061 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$49,061 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C
14%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 39%
34°C 39%
35°C 14%
32°C 11%
ใหม่
$49,061 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$49,061 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
$3,964 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$3,442 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$7,231 ปริมาณ
11%
33°C
$7,409 ปริมาณ
39%
34°C
$7,016 ปริมาณ
39%
35°C
$9,068 ปริมาณ
14%
36°C
$7,351 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$2,396 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$449 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$383 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C or higher
$353 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate Munich's August 5 high will likely peak near 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, limiting further warming from advection while allowing urban heat island effects to contribute 1–2°C locally. Diurnal heating peaks midday, moderated by expected afternoon cloud cover and low humidity that caps convective potential. These conditions explain the tight 38.5% implied probabilities on 33°C and 34°C, with lower odds on 35°C reflecting model spread and slight cooling risks from timing of any showers. Historical August maxima average 24–26°C, underscoring today's anomaly driven by persistent high pressure. Traders should monitor real-time station data through evening for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,061วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate Munich's August 5 high will likely peak near 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, limiting further warming from advection while allowing urban heat island effects to contribute 1–2°C locally. Diurnal heating peaks midday, moderated by expected afternoon cloud cover and low humidity that caps convective potential. These conditions explain the tight 38.5% implied probabilities on 33°C and 34°C, with lower odds on 35°C reflecting model spread and slight cooling risks from timing of any showers. Historical August maxima average 24–26°C, underscoring today's anomaly driven by persistent high pressure. Traders should monitor real-time station data through evening for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,061วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate Munich's August 5 high will likely peak near 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, limiting further warming from advection while allowing urban heat island effects to contribute 1–2°C locally. Diurnal heating peaks midday, moderated by expected afternoon cloud cover and low humidity that caps convective potential. These conditions explain the tight 38.5% implied probabilities on 33°C and 34°C, with lower odds on 35°C reflecting model spread and slight cooling risks from timing of any showers. Historical August maxima average 24–26°C, underscoring today's anomaly driven by persistent high pressure. Traders should monitor real-time station data through evening for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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