Forecast consensus from meteorological models places Moscow's August 6 high near 29–30 °C, with 29 °C holding a narrow market edge due to modest cooling influences such as increased cloud cover and variable winds expected overnight into the morning. Recent early-August observations show daily maxima fluctuating between 28–30 °C amid a stable high-pressure ridge, while urban heat-island effects and peak solar insolation support the upper end of that range. Ensemble spread remains tight because of minor uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of the diurnal peak, leaving traders weighting the 28 °C and 31 °C tails lower until the final model runs and observational updates arrive on the day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
29°C 41%
30°C 34%
28°C 15%
31°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
41%
30°C
34%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 41%
30°C 34%
28°C 15%
31°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
41%
30°C
34%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from meteorological models places Moscow's August 6 high near 29–30 °C, with 29 °C holding a narrow market edge due to modest cooling influences such as increased cloud cover and variable winds expected overnight into the morning. Recent early-August observations show daily maxima fluctuating between 28–30 °C amid a stable high-pressure ridge, while urban heat-island effects and peak solar insolation support the upper end of that range. Ensemble spread remains tight because of minor uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of the diurnal peak, leaving traders weighting the 28 °C and 31 °C tails lower until the final model runs and observational updates arrive on the day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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