Ongoing summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin, including lingering effects from the July heatwave with multiple days above 35°C, support trader consensus favoring a daily maximum of 35°C or higher in Chengdu on August 5. Subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of early August maintain elevated temperatures, with official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicating highs in the 32–36°C range amid scattered showers. Historical August averages of 30–34°C and occasional peaks near 38°C provide climatological context, while recent model consensus on limited cooling from cloud cover and minimal frontal activity reinforces the market-implied 83.5% probability for 35°C+. Updated NHC-equivalent regional briefings or afternoon observations could refine resolution near the 35°C threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 5?
35°C or higher 84%
34°C 15%
33°C 2%
25°C or below <1%
ใหม่
$30,938 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$30,938 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
84%
35°C or higher 84%
34°C 15%
33°C 2%
25°C or below <1%
ใหม่
$30,938 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$30,938 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
25°C or below
$409 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$323 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$323 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,851 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$2,679 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$2,366 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$3,482 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$3,852 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$2,554 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$4,133 ปริมาณ
15%
35°C or higher
$8,965 ปริมาณ
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin, including lingering effects from the July heatwave with multiple days above 35°C, support trader consensus favoring a daily maximum of 35°C or higher in Chengdu on August 5. Subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of early August maintain elevated temperatures, with official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicating highs in the 32–36°C range amid scattered showers. Historical August averages of 30–34°C and occasional peaks near 38°C provide climatological context, while recent model consensus on limited cooling from cloud cover and minimal frontal activity reinforces the market-implied 83.5% probability for 35°C+. Updated NHC-equivalent regional briefings or afternoon observations could refine resolution near the 35°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,938วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin, including lingering effects from the July heatwave with multiple days above 35°C, support trader consensus favoring a daily maximum of 35°C or higher in Chengdu on August 5. Subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of early August maintain elevated temperatures, with official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicating highs in the 32–36°C range amid scattered showers. Historical August averages of 30–34°C and occasional peaks near 38°C provide climatological context, while recent model consensus on limited cooling from cloud cover and minimal frontal activity reinforces the market-implied 83.5% probability for 35°C+. Updated NHC-equivalent regional briefings or afternoon observations could refine resolution near the 35°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,938วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin, including lingering effects from the July heatwave with multiple days above 35°C, support trader consensus favoring a daily maximum of 35°C or higher in Chengdu on August 5. Subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of early August maintain elevated temperatures, with official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicating highs in the 32–36°C range amid scattered showers. Historical August averages of 30–34°C and occasional peaks near 38°C provide climatological context, while recent model consensus on limited cooling from cloud cover and minimal frontal activity reinforces the market-implied 83.5% probability for 35°C+. Updated NHC-equivalent regional briefings or afternoon observations could refine resolution near the 35°C threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย