A cold front approaching Cape Town on the morning of August 6 is the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily high of 15–16°C. This system is forecast to deliver light rain and cooler maritime air from the Atlantic, consistent with typical winter patterns in the city’s Mediterranean climate where August averages near 17°C. Official guidance and ensemble models show limited warming potential under mostly cloudy skies, keeping maxima in the mid-teens Celsius while ruling out extremes above 18°C or below 14°C. Traders appear to weight recent model runs and the frontal timing more heavily than longer-term climatology, with the resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the Cape Town International Airport station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 6?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 6?
16°C 40%
15°C 30%
17°C 18%
14°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
30%
16°C
40%
17°C
18%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 40%
15°C 30%
17°C 18%
14°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
11°C or below
$340 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$559 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$301 ปริมาณ
3%
14°C
$384 ปริมาณ
11%
15°C
$142 ปริมาณ
30%
16°C
$354 ปริมาณ
40%
17°C
$573 ปริมาณ
18%
18°C
$424 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C
$262 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$130 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C or higher
$79 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front approaching Cape Town on the morning of August 6 is the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily high of 15–16°C. This system is forecast to deliver light rain and cooler maritime air from the Atlantic, consistent with typical winter patterns in the city’s Mediterranean climate where August averages near 17°C. Official guidance and ensemble models show limited warming potential under mostly cloudy skies, keeping maxima in the mid-teens Celsius while ruling out extremes above 18°C or below 14°C. Traders appear to weight recent model runs and the frontal timing more heavily than longer-term climatology, with the resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the Cape Town International Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,547วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front approaching Cape Town on the morning of August 6 is the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily high of 15–16°C. This system is forecast to deliver light rain and cooler maritime air from the Atlantic, consistent with typical winter patterns in the city’s Mediterranean climate where August averages near 17°C. Official guidance and ensemble models show limited warming potential under mostly cloudy skies, keeping maxima in the mid-teens Celsius while ruling out extremes above 18°C or below 14°C. Traders appear to weight recent model runs and the frontal timing more heavily than longer-term climatology, with the resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the Cape Town International Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,547วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cold front approaching Cape Town on the morning of August 6 is the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily high of 15–16°C. This system is forecast to deliver light rain and cooler maritime air from the Atlantic, consistent with typical winter patterns in the city’s Mediterranean climate where August averages near 17°C. Official guidance and ensemble models show limited warming potential under mostly cloudy skies, keeping maxima in the mid-teens Celsius while ruling out extremes above 18°C or below 14°C. Traders appear to weight recent model runs and the frontal timing more heavily than longer-term climatology, with the resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the Cape Town International Airport station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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