Latest SAWS and global model guidance indicate fine to partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 5 with isolated showers possible, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 16–18 °C. The modest spread reflects uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable southeasterly wind strength, which advects cooler marine air and modulates daytime warming, alongside evolving cloud cover that alters shortwave radiation receipt. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature anomalies relative to the seasonal 17 °C climatological baseline, keeping outcomes below 19 °C highly improbable while sustaining tight probabilities between the leading bins. Updated forecasts and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these estimates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 5?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 5?
17°C 35%
16°C 33%
18°C 17%
15°C 10%
$19,981 ปริมาณ
$19,981 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
10%
16°C
33%
17°C
35%
18°C
17%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 35%
16°C 33%
18°C 17%
15°C 10%
$19,981 ปริมาณ
$19,981 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
12°C or below
$957 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$2,502 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$1,706 ปริมาณ
3%
15°C
$730 ปริมาณ
10%
16°C
$1,655 ปริมาณ
33%
17°C
$862 ปริมาณ
35%
18°C
$927 ปริมาณ
17%
19°C
$1,477 ปริมาณ
5%
20°C
$1,244 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$3,027 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$5,170 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest SAWS and global model guidance indicate fine to partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 5 with isolated showers possible, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 16–18 °C. The modest spread reflects uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable southeasterly wind strength, which advects cooler marine air and modulates daytime warming, alongside evolving cloud cover that alters shortwave radiation receipt. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature anomalies relative to the seasonal 17 °C climatological baseline, keeping outcomes below 19 °C highly improbable while sustaining tight probabilities between the leading bins. Updated forecasts and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,981วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest SAWS and global model guidance indicate fine to partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 5 with isolated showers possible, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 16–18 °C. The modest spread reflects uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable southeasterly wind strength, which advects cooler marine air and modulates daytime warming, alongside evolving cloud cover that alters shortwave radiation receipt. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature anomalies relative to the seasonal 17 °C climatological baseline, keeping outcomes below 19 °C highly improbable while sustaining tight probabilities between the leading bins. Updated forecasts and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,981วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest SAWS and global model guidance indicate fine to partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 5 with isolated showers possible, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 16–18 °C. The modest spread reflects uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable southeasterly wind strength, which advects cooler marine air and modulates daytime warming, alongside evolving cloud cover that alters shortwave radiation receipt. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature anomalies relative to the seasonal 17 °C climatological baseline, keeping outcomes below 19 °C highly improbable while sustaining tight probabilities between the leading bins. Updated forecasts and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these estimates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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