**Current MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 5 project a daily maximum near 8–9°C amid showers and possible hail under a southerly airstream.** This aligns with the market’s strong 88.5% implied probability on 9°C, reflecting model consensus on a transient cold outbreak during typical mid-winter conditions where the August climatological mean maximum is around 12°C. Strong southerlies advect cooler maritime air from higher latitudes while limited solar insolation and cloud cover suppress daytime warming. Key factors include stable high-pressure steering of polar air masses and minimal warm advection. A shift to northerly flows or delayed frontal passage could allow the peak to reach 10–11°C, while faster clearing or stronger winds might hold the official high at or below 9°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts for any repricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 5?
9°C 89%
10°C 11%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
ใหม่
$111,001 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$111,001 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
89%
10°C
11%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C or higher
<1%
9°C 89%
10°C 11%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
ใหม่
$111,001 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$111,001 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
3°C or below
$1,150 ปริมาณ
<1%
4°C
$1,080 ปริมาณ
<1%
5°C
$3,076 ปริมาณ
<1%
6°C
$21,476 ปริมาณ
<1%
7°C
$31,419 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$12,456 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$12,534 ปริมาณ
89%
10°C
$11,275 ปริมาณ
11%
11°C
$9,233 ปริมาณ
1%
12°C
$3,920 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C or higher
$3,383 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 5 project a daily maximum near 8–9°C amid showers and possible hail under a southerly airstream.** This aligns with the market’s strong 88.5% implied probability on 9°C, reflecting model consensus on a transient cold outbreak during typical mid-winter conditions where the August climatological mean maximum is around 12°C. Strong southerlies advect cooler maritime air from higher latitudes while limited solar insolation and cloud cover suppress daytime warming. Key factors include stable high-pressure steering of polar air masses and minimal warm advection. A shift to northerly flows or delayed frontal passage could allow the peak to reach 10–11°C, while faster clearing or stronger winds might hold the official high at or below 9°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts for any repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,001วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 5 project a daily maximum near 8–9°C amid showers and possible hail under a southerly airstream.** This aligns with the market’s strong 88.5% implied probability on 9°C, reflecting model consensus on a transient cold outbreak during typical mid-winter conditions where the August climatological mean maximum is around 12°C. Strong southerlies advect cooler maritime air from higher latitudes while limited solar insolation and cloud cover suppress daytime warming. Key factors include stable high-pressure steering of polar air masses and minimal warm advection. A shift to northerly flows or delayed frontal passage could allow the peak to reach 10–11°C, while faster clearing or stronger winds might hold the official high at or below 9°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts for any repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,001วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 5 project a daily maximum near 8–9°C amid showers and possible hail under a southerly airstream.** This aligns with the market’s strong 88.5% implied probability on 9°C, reflecting model consensus on a transient cold outbreak during typical mid-winter conditions where the August climatological mean maximum is around 12°C. Strong southerlies advect cooler maritime air from higher latitudes while limited solar insolation and cloud cover suppress daytime warming. Key factors include stable high-pressure steering of polar air masses and minimal warm advection. A shift to northerly flows or delayed frontal passage could allow the peak to reach 10–11°C, while faster clearing or stronger winds might hold the official high at or below 9°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts for any repricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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