Latest numerical weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a Beijing maximum of 37°C on August 5, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging and clear skies favoring strong daytime heating. This aligns with regional heat patterns across northern China, where observed temperatures have recently reached 37–39°C amid above-normal 500 hPa geopotential heights and low soil moisture that amplifies surface warming. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect traders' confidence in these verified forecast outputs and historical analogs for early August. An unexpected surge in cloud cover, convective rainfall, or a rapid shift in steering winds could lower the peak by 2–3°C, though current ensemble spreads show limited divergence on this timeframe.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on August 5?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 5?
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$42,592 ปริมาณ
$42,592 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
100%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$42,592 ปริมาณ
$42,592 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
$308 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,024 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$1,381 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$2,340 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$4,393 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$4,208 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$5,233 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$5,388 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$8,504 ปริมาณ
100%
38°C
$6,036 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$3,776 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a Beijing maximum of 37°C on August 5, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging and clear skies favoring strong daytime heating. This aligns with regional heat patterns across northern China, where observed temperatures have recently reached 37–39°C amid above-normal 500 hPa geopotential heights and low soil moisture that amplifies surface warming. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect traders' confidence in these verified forecast outputs and historical analogs for early August. An unexpected surge in cloud cover, convective rainfall, or a rapid shift in steering winds could lower the peak by 2–3°C, though current ensemble spreads show limited divergence on this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,592วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a Beijing maximum of 37°C on August 5, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging and clear skies favoring strong daytime heating. This aligns with regional heat patterns across northern China, where observed temperatures have recently reached 37–39°C amid above-normal 500 hPa geopotential heights and low soil moisture that amplifies surface warming. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect traders' confidence in these verified forecast outputs and historical analogs for early August. An unexpected surge in cloud cover, convective rainfall, or a rapid shift in steering winds could lower the peak by 2–3°C, though current ensemble spreads show limited divergence on this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,592วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a Beijing maximum of 37°C on August 5, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging and clear skies favoring strong daytime heating. This aligns with regional heat patterns across northern China, where observed temperatures have recently reached 37–39°C amid above-normal 500 hPa geopotential heights and low soil moisture that amplifies surface warming. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect traders' confidence in these verified forecast outputs and historical analogs for early August. An unexpected surge in cloud cover, convective rainfall, or a rapid shift in steering winds could lower the peak by 2–3°C, though current ensemble spreads show limited divergence on this timeframe.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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