Recent drier southwest monsoon conditions and National Environment Agency forecasts projecting daily maxima of 33–34°C have shaped expectations for Singapore’s August 5 peak, yet the 94.5% market-implied probability on 32°C reflects climatological norms where typical highs average 31°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon showers that limit extreme heating. Official monitoring stations and model consensus emphasize these moderating factors over brief clear-sky spikes. A sustained absence of convective activity or stronger subsidence could push readings to 33°C, though current steering patterns and historical August analogs make that shift unlikely before evening observations finalize the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Singapore on August 5?
32°C 95%
33°C 7%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$37,939 ปริมาณ
$37,939 ปริมาณ
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
95%
33°C
7%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 95%
33°C 7%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$37,939 ปริมาณ
$37,939 ปริมาณ
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
95%
33°C
7%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent drier southwest monsoon conditions and National Environment Agency forecasts projecting daily maxima of 33–34°C have shaped expectations for Singapore’s August 5 peak, yet the 94.5% market-implied probability on 32°C reflects climatological norms where typical highs average 31°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon showers that limit extreme heating. Official monitoring stations and model consensus emphasize these moderating factors over brief clear-sky spikes. A sustained absence of convective activity or stronger subsidence could push readings to 33°C, though current steering patterns and historical August analogs make that shift unlikely before evening observations finalize the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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