Official forecasts from MetService and international agencies project a maximum near 10°C for Wellington on August 6, driven by a southerly airstream bringing cooler maritime air after recent showers, with clearing skies and moderate winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with seasonal norms of 12°C but reflects below-average conditions tied to current pressure patterns. Trader positioning, with 11°C at 52.5% implied probability ahead of 10°C at 38%, likely incorporates minor model spread and potential for localized warming under partial sun, while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal given tight forecast consensus and typical daily variability of 1–2°C. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine exact resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 6?
11°C 53%
10°C 38%
12°C 9%
9°C 3%
ใหม่
$25,822 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$25,822 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
38%
11°C
53%
12°C
9%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 53%
10°C 38%
12°C 9%
9°C 3%
ใหม่
$25,822 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$25,822 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
5°C or below
$373 ปริมาณ
<1%
6°C
$353 ปริมาณ
<1%
7°C
$581 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$2,113 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$3,027 ปริมาณ
3%
10°C
$4,274 ปริมาณ
38%
11°C
$5,315 ปริมาณ
53%
12°C
$4,751 ปริมาณ
9%
13°C
$3,387 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$577 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C or higher
$1,071 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and international agencies project a maximum near 10°C for Wellington on August 6, driven by a southerly airstream bringing cooler maritime air after recent showers, with clearing skies and moderate winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with seasonal norms of 12°C but reflects below-average conditions tied to current pressure patterns. Trader positioning, with 11°C at 52.5% implied probability ahead of 10°C at 38%, likely incorporates minor model spread and potential for localized warming under partial sun, while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal given tight forecast consensus and typical daily variability of 1–2°C. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,822วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and international agencies project a maximum near 10°C for Wellington on August 6, driven by a southerly airstream bringing cooler maritime air after recent showers, with clearing skies and moderate winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with seasonal norms of 12°C but reflects below-average conditions tied to current pressure patterns. Trader positioning, with 11°C at 52.5% implied probability ahead of 10°C at 38%, likely incorporates minor model spread and potential for localized warming under partial sun, while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal given tight forecast consensus and typical daily variability of 1–2°C. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,822วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService and international agencies project a maximum near 10°C for Wellington on August 6, driven by a southerly airstream bringing cooler maritime air after recent showers, with clearing skies and moderate winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with seasonal norms of 12°C but reflects below-average conditions tied to current pressure patterns. Trader positioning, with 11°C at 52.5% implied probability ahead of 10°C at 38%, likely incorporates minor model spread and potential for localized warming under partial sun, while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal given tight forecast consensus and typical daily variability of 1–2°C. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine exact resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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