Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional meteorological reports indicate afternoon highs in Wuhan around 35–37°C under hazy or partly cloudy skies with light winds and possible isolated showers, keeping the peak near the middle of that range rather than pushing into the upper 30s. High humidity typical of the Yangtze River basin's subtropical monsoon climate in early August moderates daytime heating while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover introduce small uncertainties that differentiate the tightly bunched 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Model consensus favors modest temperatures relative to historical August extremes exceeding 38°C, supporting the current market-implied odds without clear signals for a sharper rise or drop before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 5?
36°C 42%
37°C 35%
38°C 23%
35°C 3%
$17,206 ปริมาณ
$17,206 ปริมาณ
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
42%
37°C
35%
38°C
23%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 42%
37°C 35%
38°C 23%
35°C 3%
$17,206 ปริมาณ
$17,206 ปริมาณ
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
42%
37°C
35%
38°C
23%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional meteorological reports indicate afternoon highs in Wuhan around 35–37°C under hazy or partly cloudy skies with light winds and possible isolated showers, keeping the peak near the middle of that range rather than pushing into the upper 30s. High humidity typical of the Yangtze River basin's subtropical monsoon climate in early August moderates daytime heating while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover introduce small uncertainties that differentiate the tightly bunched 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Model consensus favors modest temperatures relative to historical August extremes exceeding 38°C, supporting the current market-implied odds without clear signals for a sharper rise or drop before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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