Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the Spanish meteorological service indicate Madrid will experience above-average summer heat on August 6 under persistent high-pressure conditions favoring clear skies and subsidence warming. With climatological August maxima near 32–34 °C, model consensus points to peak readings of 36–38 °C at official stations, driven by southeasterly flow advecting warmer air from the interior plateau. Short-range numerical guidance shows limited cooling from any Atlantic trough, keeping overnight minima elevated and supporting daytime maxima in the upper 30s °C. Trader positioning aligns with these projections, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 37 °C and 38 °C while discounting lower or extreme outliers given stable atmospheric patterns and minimal forecast spread. Updated model runs and station observations through the morning of August 6 will refine the final maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 6?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 6?
37°C 61%
38°C 37%
36°C 3%
39°C 2%
ใหม่
$19,328 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$19,328 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
3%
37°C
61%
38°C
37%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 61%
38°C 37%
36°C 3%
39°C 2%
ใหม่
$19,328 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$19,328 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
33°C or below
$412 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$1,887 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$2,144 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$4,627 ปริมาณ
3%
37°C
$3,542 ปริมาณ
61%
38°C
$3,172 ปริมาณ
37%
39°C
$1,187 ปริมาณ
2%
40°C
$1,036 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C
$582 ปริมาณ
<1%
42°C
$292 ปริมาณ
<1%
43°C or higher
$448 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the Spanish meteorological service indicate Madrid will experience above-average summer heat on August 6 under persistent high-pressure conditions favoring clear skies and subsidence warming. With climatological August maxima near 32–34 °C, model consensus points to peak readings of 36–38 °C at official stations, driven by southeasterly flow advecting warmer air from the interior plateau. Short-range numerical guidance shows limited cooling from any Atlantic trough, keeping overnight minima elevated and supporting daytime maxima in the upper 30s °C. Trader positioning aligns with these projections, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 37 °C and 38 °C while discounting lower or extreme outliers given stable atmospheric patterns and minimal forecast spread. Updated model runs and station observations through the morning of August 6 will refine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,328วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the Spanish meteorological service indicate Madrid will experience above-average summer heat on August 6 under persistent high-pressure conditions favoring clear skies and subsidence warming. With climatological August maxima near 32–34 °C, model consensus points to peak readings of 36–38 °C at official stations, driven by southeasterly flow advecting warmer air from the interior plateau. Short-range numerical guidance shows limited cooling from any Atlantic trough, keeping overnight minima elevated and supporting daytime maxima in the upper 30s °C. Trader positioning aligns with these projections, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 37 °C and 38 °C while discounting lower or extreme outliers given stable atmospheric patterns and minimal forecast spread. Updated model runs and station observations through the morning of August 6 will refine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,328วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the Spanish meteorological service indicate Madrid will experience above-average summer heat on August 6 under persistent high-pressure conditions favoring clear skies and subsidence warming. With climatological August maxima near 32–34 °C, model consensus points to peak readings of 36–38 °C at official stations, driven by southeasterly flow advecting warmer air from the interior plateau. Short-range numerical guidance shows limited cooling from any Atlantic trough, keeping overnight minima elevated and supporting daytime maxima in the upper 30s °C. Trader positioning aligns with these projections, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 37 °C and 38 °C while discounting lower or extreme outliers given stable atmospheric patterns and minimal forecast spread. Updated model runs and station observations through the morning of August 6 will refine the final maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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