Recent forecast guidance from Spain’s AEMET and supporting European models shows Madrid under stable high pressure with abundant sunshine and light winds, favoring a daytime maximum near 36 °C on 5 August. This aligns with climatological peaks for early August, when peak solar insolation and the urban heat-island effect routinely push central Spain into the mid-30s °C. Ensemble runs exhibit limited spread, with only modest uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and any localized cloud development that could shave a degree or two. The resulting market-implied odds place 36 °C well ahead of 35 °C and 37 °C, reflecting trader consensus on the most probable outcome within the narrow resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 5?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 5?
36°C 74%
35°C 17%
37°C 11%
38°C <1%
$32,135 ปริมาณ
$32,135 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
17%
36°C
74%
37°C
11%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 74%
35°C 17%
37°C 11%
38°C <1%
$32,135 ปริมาณ
$32,135 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
$961 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$642 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$985 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$2,059 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$8,515 ปริมาณ
17%
36°C
$5,275 ปริมาณ
74%
37°C
$4,097 ปริมาณ
11%
38°C
$2,005 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$1,187 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C
$935 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C or higher
$5,474 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Spain’s AEMET and supporting European models shows Madrid under stable high pressure with abundant sunshine and light winds, favoring a daytime maximum near 36 °C on 5 August. This aligns with climatological peaks for early August, when peak solar insolation and the urban heat-island effect routinely push central Spain into the mid-30s °C. Ensemble runs exhibit limited spread, with only modest uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and any localized cloud development that could shave a degree or two. The resulting market-implied odds place 36 °C well ahead of 35 °C and 37 °C, reflecting trader consensus on the most probable outcome within the narrow resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,135วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Spain’s AEMET and supporting European models shows Madrid under stable high pressure with abundant sunshine and light winds, favoring a daytime maximum near 36 °C on 5 August. This aligns with climatological peaks for early August, when peak solar insolation and the urban heat-island effect routinely push central Spain into the mid-30s °C. Ensemble runs exhibit limited spread, with only modest uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and any localized cloud development that could shave a degree or two. The resulting market-implied odds place 36 °C well ahead of 35 °C and 37 °C, reflecting trader consensus on the most probable outcome within the narrow resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,135วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Spain’s AEMET and supporting European models shows Madrid under stable high pressure with abundant sunshine and light winds, favoring a daytime maximum near 36 °C on 5 August. This aligns with climatological peaks for early August, when peak solar insolation and the urban heat-island effect routinely push central Spain into the mid-30s °C. Ensemble runs exhibit limited spread, with only modest uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and any localized cloud development that could shave a degree or two. The resulting market-implied odds place 36 °C well ahead of 35 °C and 37 °C, reflecting trader consensus on the most probable outcome within the narrow resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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