**Latest forecasts from meteorological services indicate a sunny day with a high near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 6, 2026, aligning with the market's strong preference for that outcome at 63.5% implied probability.** Typical August conditions along the Mediterranean coast feature daytime highs averaging 30–31°C, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and sea breezes that moderate peaks. Current model consensus, including guidance showing 32°C highs with lows around 27°C and minimal precipitation risk, supports this range, while 33°C retains secondary support at 32.5% amid slight warming potential from reduced onshore flow. Historical data place August maxima rarely exceeding 33–34°C without anomalous heat advection, keeping higher outcomes below 2% combined. Traders appear to weight official short-range forecasts heavily, as stable synoptic patterns limit deviation risks before the day's resolution. No major model disagreements or unexpected developments have emerged to shift the outlook significantly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 6?
32°C 62%
33°C 35%
31°C 6%
34°C 2%
$18,026 ปริมาณ
$18,026 ปริมาณ
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
6%
32°C
62%
33°C
35%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 62%
33°C 35%
31°C 6%
34°C 2%
$18,026 ปริมาณ
$18,026 ปริมาณ
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
6%
32°C
62%
33°C
35%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecasts from meteorological services indicate a sunny day with a high near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 6, 2026, aligning with the market's strong preference for that outcome at 63.5% implied probability.** Typical August conditions along the Mediterranean coast feature daytime highs averaging 30–31°C, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and sea breezes that moderate peaks. Current model consensus, including guidance showing 32°C highs with lows around 27°C and minimal precipitation risk, supports this range, while 33°C retains secondary support at 32.5% amid slight warming potential from reduced onshore flow. Historical data place August maxima rarely exceeding 33–34°C without anomalous heat advection, keeping higher outcomes below 2% combined. Traders appear to weight official short-range forecasts heavily, as stable synoptic patterns limit deviation risks before the day's resolution. No major model disagreements or unexpected developments have emerged to shift the outlook significantly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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