Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a cloudy August 6 with a projected high of 32°C in Tokyo, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C outcomes. A strengthened Pacific High driving subsidence and southerly flow has sustained above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu, though increasing cloud cover and scattered showers may cap afternoon peaks by limiting insolation. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with ENSO-neutral conditions and gradual seasonal cooling, support this narrow range while allowing modest upside if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
32°C 39%
33°C 31%
31°C 15%
34°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
15%
32°C
39%
33°C
31%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
33°C 31%
31°C 15%
34°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
26°C or below
$243 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$196 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$542 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$380 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$279 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$1,006 ปริมาณ
15%
32°C
$816 ปริมาณ
39%
33°C
$716 ปริมาณ
31%
34°C
$973 ปริมาณ
9%
35°C
$239 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C or higher
$759 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a cloudy August 6 with a projected high of 32°C in Tokyo, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C outcomes. A strengthened Pacific High driving subsidence and southerly flow has sustained above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu, though increasing cloud cover and scattered showers may cap afternoon peaks by limiting insolation. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with ENSO-neutral conditions and gradual seasonal cooling, support this narrow range while allowing modest upside if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,149วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a cloudy August 6 with a projected high of 32°C in Tokyo, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C outcomes. A strengthened Pacific High driving subsidence and southerly flow has sustained above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu, though increasing cloud cover and scattered showers may cap afternoon peaks by limiting insolation. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with ENSO-neutral conditions and gradual seasonal cooling, support this narrow range while allowing modest upside if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,149วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a cloudy August 6 with a projected high of 32°C in Tokyo, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C outcomes. A strengthened Pacific High driving subsidence and southerly flow has sustained above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu, though increasing cloud cover and scattered showers may cap afternoon peaks by limiting insolation. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with ENSO-neutral conditions and gradual seasonal cooling, support this narrow range while allowing modest upside if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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