Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 5 high near the low-to-mid 70s, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on 70–73 °F under partly sunny skies and a moderate sea breeze. These conditions match the market’s leading 72–73 °F (45.5 %) and 74–75 °F (26.5 %) bins, reflecting both climatological norms—daily August maxima average ~70 °F—and the current absence of strong offshore warming. A broader regional heat wave has raised inland temperatures but is buffered locally by the marine inversion, keeping extreme bins (>78 °F) below 3 % combined. Updated model runs overnight show little change in the thermal profile through the afternoon peak, supporting the current trader consensus until evening observations confirm the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 5?
72-73°F 54%
74-75°F 25%
70-71°F 18%
68-69°F 4%
ใหม่
$21,064 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$21,064 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
54%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 54%
74-75°F 25%
70-71°F 18%
68-69°F 4%
ใหม่
$21,064 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$21,064 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
65°F or below
$518 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$395 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$788 ปริมาณ
4%
70-71°F
$1,687 ปริมาณ
18%
72-73°F
$3,770 ปริมาณ
54%
74-75°F
$1,788 ปริมาณ
25%
76-77°F
$1,268 ปริมาณ
3%
78-79°F
$3,429 ปริมาณ
1%
80-81°F
$2,205 ปริมาณ
1%
82-83°F
$2,993 ปริมาณ
<1%
84°F or higher
$2,224 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 5 high near the low-to-mid 70s, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on 70–73 °F under partly sunny skies and a moderate sea breeze. These conditions match the market’s leading 72–73 °F (45.5 %) and 74–75 °F (26.5 %) bins, reflecting both climatological norms—daily August maxima average ~70 °F—and the current absence of strong offshore warming. A broader regional heat wave has raised inland temperatures but is buffered locally by the marine inversion, keeping extreme bins (>78 °F) below 3 % combined. Updated model runs overnight show little change in the thermal profile through the afternoon peak, supporting the current trader consensus until evening observations confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,064วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 5 high near the low-to-mid 70s, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on 70–73 °F under partly sunny skies and a moderate sea breeze. These conditions match the market’s leading 72–73 °F (45.5 %) and 74–75 °F (26.5 %) bins, reflecting both climatological norms—daily August maxima average ~70 °F—and the current absence of strong offshore warming. A broader regional heat wave has raised inland temperatures but is buffered locally by the marine inversion, keeping extreme bins (>78 °F) below 3 % combined. Updated model runs overnight show little change in the thermal profile through the afternoon peak, supporting the current trader consensus until evening observations confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,064วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 5 high near the low-to-mid 70s, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on 70–73 °F under partly sunny skies and a moderate sea breeze. These conditions match the market’s leading 72–73 °F (45.5 %) and 74–75 °F (26.5 %) bins, reflecting both climatological norms—daily August maxima average ~70 °F—and the current absence of strong offshore warming. A broader regional heat wave has raised inland temperatures but is buffered locally by the marine inversion, keeping extreme bins (>78 °F) below 3 % combined. Updated model runs overnight show little change in the thermal profile through the afternoon peak, supporting the current trader consensus until evening observations confirm the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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