Current numerical weather prediction models and climatological data position 23–24°C as the most probable highest temperature in Mexico City on August 7, consistent with market-implied odds. At its high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters, the city experiences moderated daytime highs during the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and showers frequently limit warming. August averages center near 23–25°C, with recent forecasts showing highs of 22–24°C (72–75°F) alongside elevated precipitation chances that further cap peaks. These conditions align with historical patterns rather than atypical heat, keeping the probability of 25°C or above under 30% while rendering extremes below 22°C unlikely without a sharp model shift. Updated guidance from agencies such as Mexico’s meteorological service will refine resolution ahead of the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 7?
24°C 41%
23°C 26%
25°C 24%
22°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
26%
24°C
41%
25°C
24%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
3%
24°C 41%
23°C 26%
25°C 24%
22°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
17°C or below
$486 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$185 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$108 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$177 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$214 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$458 ปริมาณ
6%
23°C
$132 ปริมาณ
26%
24°C
$1,408 ปริมาณ
41%
25°C
$496 ปริมาณ
24%
26°C
$522 ปริมาณ
5%
27°C or higher
$185 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and climatological data position 23–24°C as the most probable highest temperature in Mexico City on August 7, consistent with market-implied odds. At its high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters, the city experiences moderated daytime highs during the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and showers frequently limit warming. August averages center near 23–25°C, with recent forecasts showing highs of 22–24°C (72–75°F) alongside elevated precipitation chances that further cap peaks. These conditions align with historical patterns rather than atypical heat, keeping the probability of 25°C or above under 30% while rendering extremes below 22°C unlikely without a sharp model shift. Updated guidance from agencies such as Mexico’s meteorological service will refine resolution ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,371วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and climatological data position 23–24°C as the most probable highest temperature in Mexico City on August 7, consistent with market-implied odds. At its high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters, the city experiences moderated daytime highs during the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and showers frequently limit warming. August averages center near 23–25°C, with recent forecasts showing highs of 22–24°C (72–75°F) alongside elevated precipitation chances that further cap peaks. These conditions align with historical patterns rather than atypical heat, keeping the probability of 25°C or above under 30% while rendering extremes below 22°C unlikely without a sharp model shift. Updated guidance from agencies such as Mexico’s meteorological service will refine resolution ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,371วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models and climatological data position 23–24°C as the most probable highest temperature in Mexico City on August 7, consistent with market-implied odds. At its high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters, the city experiences moderated daytime highs during the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and showers frequently limit warming. August averages center near 23–25°C, with recent forecasts showing highs of 22–24°C (72–75°F) alongside elevated precipitation chances that further cap peaks. These conditions align with historical patterns rather than atypical heat, keeping the probability of 25°C or above under 30% while rendering extremes below 22°C unlikely without a sharp model shift. Updated guidance from agencies such as Mexico’s meteorological service will refine resolution ahead of the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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