Recent Met Office forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions across London on August 8, with a maximum temperature of 28°C under a building high-pressure system that favors clear skies and light winds. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with seasonal norms for early August when average highs reach the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Trader positioning favors 27–28°C outcomes because these align closely with the consensus forecast, while lower probabilities for 29°C or above reflect only modest uncertainty in daytime heating rates or minor model adjustments expected before resolution. Updated guidance from official agencies will refine these implied probabilities in the coming days.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 8?
27°C 38%
28°C 31%
26°C 14%
29°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
38%
28°C
31%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 31%
26°C 14%
29°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
38%
28°C
31%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions across London on August 8, with a maximum temperature of 28°C under a building high-pressure system that favors clear skies and light winds. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with seasonal norms for early August when average highs reach the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Trader positioning favors 27–28°C outcomes because these align closely with the consensus forecast, while lower probabilities for 29°C or above reflect only modest uncertainty in daytime heating rates or minor model adjustments expected before resolution. Updated guidance from official agencies will refine these implied probabilities in the coming days.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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