Current forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 23°C for London on August 6, driven by sunny intervals, gentle westerly breezes, and a cooling trend following recent above-average warmth. Ensemble model runs show limited spread around 22–24°C, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring these outcomes at roughly 94% combined probability. This aligns with climatological norms for early August, where daily maxima typically reach the low 20s Celsius, though minor shifts in cloud cover or advection could push readings slightly higher or lower before final official verification. Traders appear to be weighting the latest short-range guidance heavily ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 6?
23°C 42%
22°C 28%
24°C 26%
25°C 6%
$15,910 ปริมาณ
$15,910 ปริมาณ
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
28%
23°C
42%
24°C
26%
25°C
6%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 42%
22°C 28%
24°C 26%
25°C 6%
$15,910 ปริมาณ
$15,910 ปริมาณ
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
28%
23°C
42%
24°C
26%
25°C
6%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 23°C for London on August 6, driven by sunny intervals, gentle westerly breezes, and a cooling trend following recent above-average warmth. Ensemble model runs show limited spread around 22–24°C, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring these outcomes at roughly 94% combined probability. This aligns with climatological norms for early August, where daily maxima typically reach the low 20s Celsius, though minor shifts in cloud cover or advection could push readings slightly higher or lower before final official verification. Traders appear to be weighting the latest short-range guidance heavily ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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