**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Busan on August 6, 2026, centers on 34–36°C as the leading outcomes (combined ~90% implied probability), reflecting ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High.** This subtropical ridge continues to advect warm, humid air over the Korean Peninsula, with southeastern coastal areas like Busan experiencing elevated temperatures despite moderating sea breezes. Recent observations show Busan reaching 39°C on August 1 under clear skies and heat warnings from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), following a 38.8°C reading on July 29—the hottest in over a century. These extremes align with model consensus indicating daytime maxima near 34–35°C through early August, with minimal precipitation expected to allow strong solar heating. Historical August averages for Busan hover around 29–31°C, but the current anomaly—sustained by tropical night conditions and high humidity—supports the market's tilt toward the upper end of typical summer ranges. KMA short-range guidance and extended outlooks highlight heatwave alerts persisting into the period, with limited model spread on intensification or cooling. Resolution hinges on official KMA daily maximum readings for the city; any unexpected typhoon influence or stronger onshore flow could cap temperatures nearer 33°C, while continued clear, stable conditions would favor 36°C or above. The tight clustering around 35°C captures the balance between established heat patterns and coastal variability two days out.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on August 6?
35°C 44%
34°C 27%
36°C 22%
33°C 8%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
27%
35°C
44%
36°C
22%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 44%
34°C 27%
36°C 22%
33°C 8%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
27%
35°C
44%
36°C
22%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Busan on August 6, 2026, centers on 34–36°C as the leading outcomes (combined ~90% implied probability), reflecting ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High.** This subtropical ridge continues to advect warm, humid air over the Korean Peninsula, with southeastern coastal areas like Busan experiencing elevated temperatures despite moderating sea breezes. Recent observations show Busan reaching 39°C on August 1 under clear skies and heat warnings from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), following a 38.8°C reading on July 29—the hottest in over a century. These extremes align with model consensus indicating daytime maxima near 34–35°C through early August, with minimal precipitation expected to allow strong solar heating. Historical August averages for Busan hover around 29–31°C, but the current anomaly—sustained by tropical night conditions and high humidity—supports the market's tilt toward the upper end of typical summer ranges. KMA short-range guidance and extended outlooks highlight heatwave alerts persisting into the period, with limited model spread on intensification or cooling. Resolution hinges on official KMA daily maximum readings for the city; any unexpected typhoon influence or stronger onshore flow could cap temperatures nearer 33°C, while continued clear, stable conditions would favor 36°C or above. The tight clustering around 35°C captures the balance between established heat patterns and coastal variability two days out.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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