**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily minimum near 27°C on August 5, 2026, with daytime highs of 31–32°C under sunny periods and isolated showers.** Weak winds and a broad area of low pressure maintain typical summer humidity and cloud cover, preventing significant overnight cooling below this level. Historical August climatology shows average overnight lows of 26–28°C, and recent model consensus aligns with no major departures from these norms. Trader consensus at 97% for 27°C reflects this stable atmospheric setup and the limited scope for rapid changes on the final day of observation. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized heavy rain that suppresses the minimum by 1–2°C, though official guidance shows low probability of such conditions materializing before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
27°C 95%
26°C 3%
25°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
$37,343 ปริมาณ
$37,343 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
95%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 95%
26°C 3%
25°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
$37,343 ปริมาณ
$37,343 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
21°C or below
$541 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$535 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$924 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$3,519 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$3,903 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$6,610 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$7,276 ปริมาณ
95%
28°C
$7,037 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$4,842 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$563 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,596 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily minimum near 27°C on August 5, 2026, with daytime highs of 31–32°C under sunny periods and isolated showers.** Weak winds and a broad area of low pressure maintain typical summer humidity and cloud cover, preventing significant overnight cooling below this level. Historical August climatology shows average overnight lows of 26–28°C, and recent model consensus aligns with no major departures from these norms.
Trader consensus at 97% for 27°C reflects this stable atmospheric setup and the limited scope for rapid changes on the final day of observation. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized heavy rain that suppresses the minimum by 1–2°C, though official guidance shows low probability of such conditions materializing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,343วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily minimum near 27°C on August 5, 2026, with daytime highs of 31–32°C under sunny periods and isolated showers.** Weak winds and a broad area of low pressure maintain typical summer humidity and cloud cover, preventing significant overnight cooling below this level. Historical August climatology shows average overnight lows of 26–28°C, and recent model consensus aligns with no major departures from these norms.
Trader consensus at 97% for 27°C reflects this stable atmospheric setup and the limited scope for rapid changes on the final day of observation. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized heavy rain that suppresses the minimum by 1–2°C, though official guidance shows low probability of such conditions materializing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,343วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily minimum near 27°C on August 5, 2026, with daytime highs of 31–32°C under sunny periods and isolated showers.** Weak winds and a broad area of low pressure maintain typical summer humidity and cloud cover, preventing significant overnight cooling below this level. Historical August climatology shows average overnight lows of 26–28°C, and recent model consensus aligns with no major departures from these norms. Trader consensus at 97% for 27°C reflects this stable atmospheric setup and the limited scope for rapid changes on the final day of observation. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized heavy rain that suppresses the minimum by 1–2°C, though official guidance shows low probability of such conditions materializing before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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