Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Qingdao's August 6 high will likely fall between 31–35 °C, tempered by its coastal location and southeasterly sea breezes that limit inland heat advection. A regional heatwave pushing inland Shandong maxima to 37–39 °C has elevated trader focus on 35–36 °C outcomes, yet marine influence and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Model runs diverge on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any sea-breeze front, keeping the 35 °C and 36 °C probabilities closely matched while capping odds for 37 °C or higher. Updated numerical guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 6?
36°C 37%
35°C 29%
37°C 23%
34°C 7%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
7%
35°C
29%
36°C
37%
37°C
23%
38°C or higher
6%
36°C 37%
35°C 29%
37°C 23%
34°C 7%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
7%
35°C
29%
36°C
37%
37°C
23%
38°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Qingdao's August 6 high will likely fall between 31–35 °C, tempered by its coastal location and southeasterly sea breezes that limit inland heat advection. A regional heatwave pushing inland Shandong maxima to 37–39 °C has elevated trader focus on 35–36 °C outcomes, yet marine influence and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Model runs diverge on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any sea-breeze front, keeping the 35 °C and 36 °C probabilities closely matched while capping odds for 37 °C or higher. Updated numerical guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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