Forecast consensus from models referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather positions 31–32°C as the most likely peak for Tel Aviv on August 7, driving the 52.5% implied probability on 32°C and 27% on 31°C. Typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions—high pressure, clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and insolation near seasonal norms—support modest heating around the 31°C August average without strong advection or subsidence to push extremes. Recent short-range updates show stable patterns with minimal day-to-day shifts, keeping 33°C at just 15% while lower outcomes remain under 5%. Forecasters note inherent model uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution, with new guidance expected before resolution. Trader capital reflects this evidence-based central tendency.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 7?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 7?
32°C 70%
31°C 27%
33°C 25%
30°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
27%
32°C
53%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 70%
31°C 27%
33°C 25%
30°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
$150 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$19 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$20 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$35 ปริมาณ
27%
32°C
$48 ปริมาณ
53%
33°C
$35 ปริมาณ
14%
34°C
$15 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
37°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather positions 31–32°C as the most likely peak for Tel Aviv on August 7, driving the 52.5% implied probability on 32°C and 27% on 31°C. Typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions—high pressure, clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and insolation near seasonal norms—support modest heating around the 31°C August average without strong advection or subsidence to push extremes. Recent short-range updates show stable patterns with minimal day-to-day shifts, keeping 33°C at just 15% while lower outcomes remain under 5%. Forecasters note inherent model uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution, with new guidance expected before resolution. Trader capital reflects this evidence-based central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$318วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather positions 31–32°C as the most likely peak for Tel Aviv on August 7, driving the 52.5% implied probability on 32°C and 27% on 31°C. Typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions—high pressure, clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and insolation near seasonal norms—support modest heating around the 31°C August average without strong advection or subsidence to push extremes. Recent short-range updates show stable patterns with minimal day-to-day shifts, keeping 33°C at just 15% while lower outcomes remain under 5%. Forecasters note inherent model uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution, with new guidance expected before resolution. Trader capital reflects this evidence-based central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$318วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from models referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather positions 31–32°C as the most likely peak for Tel Aviv on August 7, driving the 52.5% implied probability on 32°C and 27% on 31°C. Typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions—high pressure, clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and insolation near seasonal norms—support modest heating around the 31°C August average without strong advection or subsidence to push extremes. Recent short-range updates show stable patterns with minimal day-to-day shifts, keeping 33°C at just 15% while lower outcomes remain under 5%. Forecasters note inherent model uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution, with new guidance expected before resolution. Trader capital reflects this evidence-based central tendency.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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