**Forecast models and typical summer climatology position 32–33°C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 5, 2026.** Coastal Tel Aviv’s Mediterranean climate, moderated by the adjacent Mediterranean Sea and prevailing sea breezes, normally produces August highs of 29–32°C, with occasional peaks near 33–34°C under clear, stable conditions. Current forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate sunny skies, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting a maximum near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F) without significant heat advection from inland areas. No active heatwave or anomalous synoptic pattern is evident in official guidance for the date, keeping extreme outcomes (35°C+) at very low implied probabilities. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with traders weighting the central 32–33°C band heavily while assigning minimal probability to cooler or substantially hotter deviations. Updated model runs or Israel Meteorological Service observations on the day itself remain the key variables that could still shift resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 5?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 5?
33°C 64%
32°C 26%
34°C 5%
31°C <1%
$29,859 ปริมาณ
$29,859 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
26%
33°C
64%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 64%
32°C 26%
34°C 5%
31°C <1%
$29,859 ปริมาณ
$29,859 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
$566 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,383 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$599 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$2,541 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$5,824 ปริมาณ
26%
33°C
$6,834 ปริมาณ
64%
34°C
$6,499 ปริมาณ
5%
35°C
$1,529 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$1,136 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$425 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$2,770 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and typical summer climatology position 32–33°C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 5, 2026.** Coastal Tel Aviv’s Mediterranean climate, moderated by the adjacent Mediterranean Sea and prevailing sea breezes, normally produces August highs of 29–32°C, with occasional peaks near 33–34°C under clear, stable conditions. Current forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate sunny skies, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting a maximum near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F) without significant heat advection from inland areas.
No active heatwave or anomalous synoptic pattern is evident in official guidance for the date, keeping extreme outcomes (35°C+) at very low implied probabilities. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with traders weighting the central 32–33°C band heavily while assigning minimal probability to cooler or substantially hotter deviations. Updated model runs or Israel Meteorological Service observations on the day itself remain the key variables that could still shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,859วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and typical summer climatology position 32–33°C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 5, 2026.** Coastal Tel Aviv’s Mediterranean climate, moderated by the adjacent Mediterranean Sea and prevailing sea breezes, normally produces August highs of 29–32°C, with occasional peaks near 33–34°C under clear, stable conditions. Current forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate sunny skies, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting a maximum near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F) without significant heat advection from inland areas.
No active heatwave or anomalous synoptic pattern is evident in official guidance for the date, keeping extreme outcomes (35°C+) at very low implied probabilities. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with traders weighting the central 32–33°C band heavily while assigning minimal probability to cooler or substantially hotter deviations. Updated model runs or Israel Meteorological Service observations on the day itself remain the key variables that could still shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,859วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and typical summer climatology position 32–33°C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 5, 2026.** Coastal Tel Aviv’s Mediterranean climate, moderated by the adjacent Mediterranean Sea and prevailing sea breezes, normally produces August highs of 29–32°C, with occasional peaks near 33–34°C under clear, stable conditions. Current forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate sunny skies, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting a maximum near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F) without significant heat advection from inland areas. No active heatwave or anomalous synoptic pattern is evident in official guidance for the date, keeping extreme outcomes (35°C+) at very low implied probabilities. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with traders weighting the central 32–33°C band heavily while assigning minimal probability to cooler or substantially hotter deviations. Updated model runs or Israel Meteorological Service observations on the day itself remain the key variables that could still shift resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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