Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 90°F in Central Park on August 7, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 88–91°F bins. A persistent warm, humid air mass under weak steering flow favors daytime heating, while scattered afternoon convection and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings. The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center’s August outlook for above-normal temperatures across the Northeast provides broader context, though short-term steering patterns and thunderstorm timing remain the dominant variables. Traders appear to view the consensus forecast as the most probable outcome while assigning lower probability to stronger or weaker heating scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 7?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 7?
90-91°F 34%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 25%
86-87°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
34%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 34%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 25%
86-87°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
81°F or below
$403 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$229 ปริมาณ
1%
84-85°F
$424 ปริมาณ
3%
86-87°F
$393 ปริมาณ
8%
88-89°F
$856 ปริมาณ
25%
90-91°F
$1,184 ปริมาณ
34%
92-93°F
$1,533 ปริมาณ
30%
94-95°F
$244 ปริมาณ
5%
96-97°F
$249 ปริมาณ
1%
98-99°F
$228 ปริมาณ
1%
100°F or higher
$247 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 90°F in Central Park on August 7, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 88–91°F bins. A persistent warm, humid air mass under weak steering flow favors daytime heating, while scattered afternoon convection and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings. The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center’s August outlook for above-normal temperatures across the Northeast provides broader context, though short-term steering patterns and thunderstorm timing remain the dominant variables. Traders appear to view the consensus forecast as the most probable outcome while assigning lower probability to stronger or weaker heating scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,642วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 90°F in Central Park on August 7, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 88–91°F bins. A persistent warm, humid air mass under weak steering flow favors daytime heating, while scattered afternoon convection and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings. The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center’s August outlook for above-normal temperatures across the Northeast provides broader context, though short-term steering patterns and thunderstorm timing remain the dominant variables. Traders appear to view the consensus forecast as the most probable outcome while assigning lower probability to stronger or weaker heating scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,642วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 90°F in Central Park on August 7, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 88–91°F bins. A persistent warm, humid air mass under weak steering flow favors daytime heating, while scattered afternoon convection and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings. The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center’s August outlook for above-normal temperatures across the Northeast provides broader context, though short-term steering patterns and thunderstorm timing remain the dominant variables. Traders appear to view the consensus forecast as the most probable outcome while assigning lower probability to stronger or weaker heating scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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