**Persistent summer heat dome and typical August climatology position 98-99°F as the most likely high for Austin on August 7.** Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance show daily highs ranging 96-100°F through early August, with the monthly average near 98°F and peak climatological values also in the upper 90s. Current model consensus indicates mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal afternoon convection risk, allowing strong solar heating under high pressure. Recent observations confirm continued hot conditions with highs near or slightly above 100°F in early August, and longer-range outlooks favor above-normal temperatures without imminent cooling fronts or tropical moisture surges. This supports the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (55%) and adjacent bins, while lower probabilities for 100°F+ reflect the modest chance of a slightly cooler steering pattern or increased cloud cover. Traders monitor NWS forecast updates and model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 7?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 7?
98-99°F 56%
96-97°F 23%
100-101°F 15%
94-95°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
15%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 56%
96-97°F 23%
100-101°F 15%
94-95°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
89°F or below
$108 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$326 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$31 ปริมาณ
4%
94-95°F
$41 ปริมาณ
5%
96-97°F
$104 ปริมาณ
23%
98-99°F
$586 ปริมาณ
56%
100-101°F
$47 ปริมาณ
15%
102-103°F
$71 ปริมาณ
3%
104-105°F
$140 ปริมาณ
<1%
106-107°F
$200 ปริมาณ
<1%
108°F or higher
$141 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent summer heat dome and typical August climatology position 98-99°F as the most likely high for Austin on August 7.** Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance show daily highs ranging 96-100°F through early August, with the monthly average near 98°F and peak climatological values also in the upper 90s. Current model consensus indicates mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal afternoon convection risk, allowing strong solar heating under high pressure. Recent observations confirm continued hot conditions with highs near or slightly above 100°F in early August, and longer-range outlooks favor above-normal temperatures without imminent cooling fronts or tropical moisture surges. This supports the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (55%) and adjacent bins, while lower probabilities for 100°F+ reflect the modest chance of a slightly cooler steering pattern or increased cloud cover. Traders monitor NWS forecast updates and model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,794วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent summer heat dome and typical August climatology position 98-99°F as the most likely high for Austin on August 7.** Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance show daily highs ranging 96-100°F through early August, with the monthly average near 98°F and peak climatological values also in the upper 90s. Current model consensus indicates mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal afternoon convection risk, allowing strong solar heating under high pressure. Recent observations confirm continued hot conditions with highs near or slightly above 100°F in early August, and longer-range outlooks favor above-normal temperatures without imminent cooling fronts or tropical moisture surges. This supports the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (55%) and adjacent bins, while lower probabilities for 100°F+ reflect the modest chance of a slightly cooler steering pattern or increased cloud cover. Traders monitor NWS forecast updates and model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,794วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent summer heat dome and typical August climatology position 98-99°F as the most likely high for Austin on August 7.** Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance show daily highs ranging 96-100°F through early August, with the monthly average near 98°F and peak climatological values also in the upper 90s. Current model consensus indicates mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal afternoon convection risk, allowing strong solar heating under high pressure. Recent observations confirm continued hot conditions with highs near or slightly above 100°F in early August, and longer-range outlooks favor above-normal temperatures without imminent cooling fronts or tropical moisture surges. This supports the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (55%) and adjacent bins, while lower probabilities for 100°F+ reflect the modest chance of a slightly cooler steering pattern or increased cloud cover. Traders monitor NWS forecast updates and model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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