Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate a daytime high near 27–28°C in Moscow on August 5, driven by a warm air mass under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds. This aligns with the market's strong preference for 27°C (61.5% implied probability), as typical August averages hover around 22–23°C and recent model runs show limited variability from stable high-pressure influence. Official measurements at the primary Moscow station will determine the exact maximum, with minor shifts possible from localized cloud cover or timing of peak insolation; traders appear to weigh these near-term observational updates heavily given the day's proximity to resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 5?
27°C 62%
26°C 20%
28°C 14%
29°C 2%
$13,494 ปริมาณ
$13,494 ปริมาณ
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
20%
27°C
62%
28°C
14%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 62%
26°C 20%
28°C 14%
29°C 2%
$13,494 ปริมาณ
$13,494 ปริมาณ
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
20%
27°C
62%
28°C
14%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate a daytime high near 27–28°C in Moscow on August 5, driven by a warm air mass under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds. This aligns with the market's strong preference for 27°C (61.5% implied probability), as typical August averages hover around 22–23°C and recent model runs show limited variability from stable high-pressure influence. Official measurements at the primary Moscow station will determine the exact maximum, with minor shifts possible from localized cloud cover or timing of peak insolation; traders appear to weigh these near-term observational updates heavily given the day's proximity to resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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