Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 5 will reach 27°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, weak southerly flow, and elevated humidity typical of midsummer conditions. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 26–28°C in early August 2026 and seasonal baselines where August averages hover near 25–26°C but current patterns suppress further cooling. Trader consensus at 97% for 27°C reflects high confidence in model agreement, with limited variability expected before resolution. An unforecasted cold surge or rapid radiative cooling under clear skies could push readings to 26°C or below, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
27°C 94%
26°C 3.7%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
ใหม่
$32,021 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$32,021 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
94%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 94%
26°C 3.7%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
ใหม่
$32,021 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$32,021 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$1,016 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$1,454 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$3,112 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$2,673 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$1,865 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$3,342 ปริมาณ
94%
28°C
$3,577 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$9,246 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$2,871 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$512 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$2,353 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 5 will reach 27°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, weak southerly flow, and elevated humidity typical of midsummer conditions. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 26–28°C in early August 2026 and seasonal baselines where August averages hover near 25–26°C but current patterns suppress further cooling. Trader consensus at 97% for 27°C reflects high confidence in model agreement, with limited variability expected before resolution. An unforecasted cold surge or rapid radiative cooling under clear skies could push readings to 26°C or below, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,021วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 5 will reach 27°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, weak southerly flow, and elevated humidity typical of midsummer conditions. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 26–28°C in early August 2026 and seasonal baselines where August averages hover near 25–26°C but current patterns suppress further cooling. Trader consensus at 97% for 27°C reflects high confidence in model agreement, with limited variability expected before resolution. An unforecasted cold surge or rapid radiative cooling under clear skies could push readings to 26°C or below, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,021วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 5 will reach 27°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, weak southerly flow, and elevated humidity typical of midsummer conditions. This aligns with observed overnight lows of 26–28°C in early August 2026 and seasonal baselines where August averages hover near 25–26°C but current patterns suppress further cooling. Trader consensus at 97% for 27°C reflects high confidence in model agreement, with limited variability expected before resolution. An unforecasted cold surge or rapid radiative cooling under clear skies could push readings to 26°C or below, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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