Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a daytime high near 30°C in coastal Qingdao on August 11 amid light rain, overcast skies, and moderating sea breezes typical of the Yellow Sea region. These conditions, combined with August humidity levels often exceeding 75 percent, favor outcomes clustered around 29–31°C and explain the market’s tight distribution with 30°C leading at 26 percent implied probability. Model consensus highlights limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and onshore flow, while historical climatology shows rare excursions above 33°C this late in the season without a strong high-pressure ridge. Traders weigh these variables against possible clearer intervals that could push readings to 32°C or brief clearing that caps the peak at 28°C. Updated CMA model runs and station observations in the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to refine sentiment before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 11?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 11?
30°C 35%
29°C 26%
31°C 16%
28°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
14%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
16%
32°C
14%
33°C
10%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
29°C 26%
31°C 16%
28°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
25°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$2 ปริมาณ
14%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
30°C
$6 ปริมาณ
26%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
33°C
$8 ปริมาณ
10%
34°C
$1 ปริมาณ
9%
35°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a daytime high near 30°C in coastal Qingdao on August 11 amid light rain, overcast skies, and moderating sea breezes typical of the Yellow Sea region. These conditions, combined with August humidity levels often exceeding 75 percent, favor outcomes clustered around 29–31°C and explain the market’s tight distribution with 30°C leading at 26 percent implied probability. Model consensus highlights limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and onshore flow, while historical climatology shows rare excursions above 33°C this late in the season without a strong high-pressure ridge. Traders weigh these variables against possible clearer intervals that could push readings to 32°C or brief clearing that caps the peak at 28°C. Updated CMA model runs and station observations in the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to refine sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a daytime high near 30°C in coastal Qingdao on August 11 amid light rain, overcast skies, and moderating sea breezes typical of the Yellow Sea region. These conditions, combined with August humidity levels often exceeding 75 percent, favor outcomes clustered around 29–31°C and explain the market’s tight distribution with 30°C leading at 26 percent implied probability. Model consensus highlights limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and onshore flow, while historical climatology shows rare excursions above 33°C this late in the season without a strong high-pressure ridge. Traders weigh these variables against possible clearer intervals that could push readings to 32°C or brief clearing that caps the peak at 28°C. Updated CMA model runs and station observations in the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to refine sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a daytime high near 30°C in coastal Qingdao on August 11 amid light rain, overcast skies, and moderating sea breezes typical of the Yellow Sea region. These conditions, combined with August humidity levels often exceeding 75 percent, favor outcomes clustered around 29–31°C and explain the market’s tight distribution with 30°C leading at 26 percent implied probability. Model consensus highlights limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and onshore flow, while historical climatology shows rare excursions above 33°C this late in the season without a strong high-pressure ridge. Traders weigh these variables against possible clearer intervals that could push readings to 32°C or brief clearing that caps the peak at 28°C. Updated CMA model runs and station observations in the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to refine sentiment before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย