Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 11 under mostly clear skies, amid persistent summer warmth and elevated humidity that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23–25°C because small differences in forecast details—such as boundary-layer moisture, light wind regimes, or subtle cloud cover—can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. High dew points typical of August suppress cooling rates, while any increase in low-level moisture or reduced ventilation would favor the lower outcomes. Updated regional model runs and the next KMA short-range briefing represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 11?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 11?
24°C 28%
25°C 28%
23°C 20%
26°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
27%
24°C
28%
25°C
28%
26°C
11%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 28%
25°C 28%
23°C 20%
26°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$22 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$24 ปริมาณ
7%
23°C
$25 ปริมาณ
27%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
27°C
$12 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 11 under mostly clear skies, amid persistent summer warmth and elevated humidity that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23–25°C because small differences in forecast details—such as boundary-layer moisture, light wind regimes, or subtle cloud cover—can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. High dew points typical of August suppress cooling rates, while any increase in low-level moisture or reduced ventilation would favor the lower outcomes. Updated regional model runs and the next KMA short-range briefing represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 11 under mostly clear skies, amid persistent summer warmth and elevated humidity that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23–25°C because small differences in forecast details—such as boundary-layer moisture, light wind regimes, or subtle cloud cover—can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. High dew points typical of August suppress cooling rates, while any increase in low-level moisture or reduced ventilation would favor the lower outcomes. Updated regional model runs and the next KMA short-range briefing represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 11 under mostly clear skies, amid persistent summer warmth and elevated humidity that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23–25°C because small differences in forecast details—such as boundary-layer moisture, light wind regimes, or subtle cloud cover—can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. High dew points typical of August suppress cooling rates, while any increase in low-level moisture or reduced ventilation would favor the lower outcomes. Updated regional model runs and the next KMA short-range briefing represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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