Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Dallas highs near 100°F on August 9, consistent with recent days of sunny, hot conditions under a persistent subtropical ridge. This places the 100-101°F bin as the market favorite at 47.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 98-99°F, as slight differences in afternoon mixing, wind speed, or localized cloud cover could shift the peak by a degree or two. August climatology shows typical highs of 96-99°F, but the current pattern has sustained readings at or above 100°F, with heat indices enhanced by humidity. Model consensus remains tight, though any late-day convection or stronger boundary-layer mixing introduces modest uncertainty that traders are pricing into the close 98-101°F outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Dallas on August 9?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 9?
100-101°F 46%
98-99°F 41%
102-103°F 10%
96-97°F 8%
ใหม่
$11,485 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,485 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
46%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 46%
98-99°F 41%
102-103°F 10%
96-97°F 8%
ใหม่
$11,485 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,485 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
93°F or below
$432 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$1,373 ปริมาณ
<1%
96-97°F
$2,401 ปริมาณ
8%
98-99°F
$1,045 ปริมาณ
41%
100-101°F
$2,212 ปริมาณ
46%
102-103°F
$485 ปริมาณ
10%
104-105°F
$1,504 ปริมาณ
<1%
106-107°F
$653 ปริมาณ
1%
108-109°F
$450 ปริมาณ
<1%
110-111°F
$496 ปริมาณ
<1%
112°F or higher
$434 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Dallas highs near 100°F on August 9, consistent with recent days of sunny, hot conditions under a persistent subtropical ridge. This places the 100-101°F bin as the market favorite at 47.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 98-99°F, as slight differences in afternoon mixing, wind speed, or localized cloud cover could shift the peak by a degree or two. August climatology shows typical highs of 96-99°F, but the current pattern has sustained readings at or above 100°F, with heat indices enhanced by humidity. Model consensus remains tight, though any late-day convection or stronger boundary-layer mixing introduces modest uncertainty that traders are pricing into the close 98-101°F outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,485วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Dallas highs near 100°F on August 9, consistent with recent days of sunny, hot conditions under a persistent subtropical ridge. This places the 100-101°F bin as the market favorite at 47.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 98-99°F, as slight differences in afternoon mixing, wind speed, or localized cloud cover could shift the peak by a degree or two. August climatology shows typical highs of 96-99°F, but the current pattern has sustained readings at or above 100°F, with heat indices enhanced by humidity. Model consensus remains tight, though any late-day convection or stronger boundary-layer mixing introduces modest uncertainty that traders are pricing into the close 98-101°F outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,485วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Dallas highs near 100°F on August 9, consistent with recent days of sunny, hot conditions under a persistent subtropical ridge. This places the 100-101°F bin as the market favorite at 47.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 98-99°F, as slight differences in afternoon mixing, wind speed, or localized cloud cover could shift the peak by a degree or two. August climatology shows typical highs of 96-99°F, but the current pattern has sustained readings at or above 100°F, with heat indices enhanced by humidity. Model consensus remains tight, though any late-day convection or stronger boundary-layer mixing introduces modest uncertainty that traders are pricing into the close 98-101°F outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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