Short-range forecast uncertainty and typical early-August variability in Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34 °C. Numerical models show modest differences in cloud cover, convective rainfall, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift daily maxima by 1–2 °C; clearer, drier conditions favor the upper end while scattered showers or thicker stratus suppress peaks toward 31–32 °C. Historical climatology places early-August mean highs near 33–34 °C, with urban heat-island amplification and high humidity (often >70 %) adding marginal warming. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of market resolution on the official maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 8?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 8?
34°C 29%
33°C 26%
32°C 24%
31°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
12%
32°C
24%
33°C
26%
34°C
29%
35°C
10%
36°C or higher
1%
34°C 29%
33°C 26%
32°C 24%
31°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
$397 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C
$179 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$20 ปริมาณ
10%
31°C
$34 ปริมาณ
12%
32°C
$3 ปริมาณ
24%
33°C
$5 ปริมาณ
26%
34°C
$213 ปริมาณ
29%
35°C
$7 ปริมาณ
10%
36°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast uncertainty and typical early-August variability in Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34 °C. Numerical models show modest differences in cloud cover, convective rainfall, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift daily maxima by 1–2 °C; clearer, drier conditions favor the upper end while scattered showers or thicker stratus suppress peaks toward 31–32 °C. Historical climatology places early-August mean highs near 33–34 °C, with urban heat-island amplification and high humidity (often >70 %) adding marginal warming. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of market resolution on the official maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$827วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast uncertainty and typical early-August variability in Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34 °C. Numerical models show modest differences in cloud cover, convective rainfall, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift daily maxima by 1–2 °C; clearer, drier conditions favor the upper end while scattered showers or thicker stratus suppress peaks toward 31–32 °C. Historical climatology places early-August mean highs near 33–34 °C, with urban heat-island amplification and high humidity (often >70 %) adding marginal warming. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of market resolution on the official maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$827วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast uncertainty and typical early-August variability in Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34 °C. Numerical models show modest differences in cloud cover, convective rainfall, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift daily maxima by 1–2 °C; clearer, drier conditions favor the upper end while scattered showers or thicker stratus suppress peaks toward 31–32 °C. Historical climatology places early-August mean highs near 33–34 °C, with urban heat-island amplification and high humidity (often >70 %) adding marginal warming. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of market resolution on the official maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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