Recent forecast models point to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Shanghai on August 10 under persistent overcast skies, heavy rainfall, and high humidity near 90%, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance and extended outlooks from AccuWeather. Summer high-pressure dominance and the urban heat-island effect suppress radiative cooling, while typical August climatology shows average minimums around 25–26°C with limited diurnal range during wet periods. No major cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences appear imminent in the next 48 hours, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 27°C at 54.5% and 26°C at 17%. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as precipitation timing and wind patterns become clearer.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
27°C 54%
26°C 18%
28°C 14%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 10, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C
18%
27°C
54%
28°C
14%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 54%
26°C 18%
28°C 14%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 10, 2026
21°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$476 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$467 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$332 ปริมาณ
8%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C
$23 ปริมาณ
18%
27°C
$306 ปริมาณ
54%
28°C
$11 ปริมาณ
14%
29°C
$18 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C or higher
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models point to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Shanghai on August 10 under persistent overcast skies, heavy rainfall, and high humidity near 90%, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance and extended outlooks from AccuWeather. Summer high-pressure dominance and the urban heat-island effect suppress radiative cooling, while typical August climatology shows average minimums around 25–26°C with limited diurnal range during wet periods. No major cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences appear imminent in the next 48 hours, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 27°C at 54.5% and 26°C at 17%. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as precipitation timing and wind patterns become clearer.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,693วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models point to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Shanghai on August 10 under persistent overcast skies, heavy rainfall, and high humidity near 90%, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance and extended outlooks from AccuWeather. Summer high-pressure dominance and the urban heat-island effect suppress radiative cooling, while typical August climatology shows average minimums around 25–26°C with limited diurnal range during wet periods. No major cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences appear imminent in the next 48 hours, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 27°C at 54.5% and 26°C at 17%. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as precipitation timing and wind patterns become clearer.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,693วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models point to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Shanghai on August 10 under persistent overcast skies, heavy rainfall, and high humidity near 90%, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance and extended outlooks from AccuWeather. Summer high-pressure dominance and the urban heat-island effect suppress radiative cooling, while typical August climatology shows average minimums around 25–26°C with limited diurnal range during wet periods. No major cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences appear imminent in the next 48 hours, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 27°C at 54.5% and 26°C at 17%. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as precipitation timing and wind patterns become clearer.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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