Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overcast skies and widespread heavy rainfall across Shanghai on August 10, 2026, suppressing maximum temperatures to the 28–30°C range and positioning 29°C as the leading outcome at 36.5% implied probability. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31–32°C daytime highs but reflects a short-term cooling influence from an active weather system, including potential flash flooding. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential under persistent cloud cover and high humidity, with lower probabilities for 31°C or above consistent with the narrow window for any late-day clearing. Updated model runs and official advisories over the next 48 hours will be key for refining these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
29°C 37%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
31°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 10, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
22%
29°C
37%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 37%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
31°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 10, 2026
23°C or below
$141 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$131 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$149 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$405 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$413 ปริมาณ
22%
29°C
$313 ปริมาณ
37%
30°C
$363 ปริมาณ
24%
31°C
$631 ปริมาณ
9%
32°C
$414 ปริมาณ
5%
33°C or higher
$237 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overcast skies and widespread heavy rainfall across Shanghai on August 10, 2026, suppressing maximum temperatures to the 28–30°C range and positioning 29°C as the leading outcome at 36.5% implied probability. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31–32°C daytime highs but reflects a short-term cooling influence from an active weather system, including potential flash flooding. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential under persistent cloud cover and high humidity, with lower probabilities for 31°C or above consistent with the narrow window for any late-day clearing. Updated model runs and official advisories over the next 48 hours will be key for refining these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,202วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overcast skies and widespread heavy rainfall across Shanghai on August 10, 2026, suppressing maximum temperatures to the 28–30°C range and positioning 29°C as the leading outcome at 36.5% implied probability. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31–32°C daytime highs but reflects a short-term cooling influence from an active weather system, including potential flash flooding. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential under persistent cloud cover and high humidity, with lower probabilities for 31°C or above consistent with the narrow window for any late-day clearing. Updated model runs and official advisories over the next 48 hours will be key for refining these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,202วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overcast skies and widespread heavy rainfall across Shanghai on August 10, 2026, suppressing maximum temperatures to the 28–30°C range and positioning 29°C as the leading outcome at 36.5% implied probability. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31–32°C daytime highs but reflects a short-term cooling influence from an active weather system, including potential flash flooding. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential under persistent cloud cover and high humidity, with lower probabilities for 31°C or above consistent with the narrow window for any late-day clearing. Updated model runs and official advisories over the next 48 hours will be key for refining these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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