The market's tight spread between 35°C and 36°C mirrors the Hong Kong Observatory's August 7 forecast of a 36°C maximum on August 9, driven by subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin that favors extremely hot, mainly fine conditions with isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These convective elements introduce key uncertainty, as early or widespread rain could cap peaks near 35°C while clearer skies push toward or above 36°C. Seasonal forecasts of normal-to-above-normal August temperatures and elevated humidity provide supportive context, but resolution hinges on precise timing of any showers. Traders will watch subsequent HKO updates and model runs for shifts in the expected maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
35°C 38%
36°C 29%
37°C 19%
34°C 10%
ใหม่
$11,585 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,585 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
38%
36°C
29%
37°C
19%
38°C
8%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
36°C 29%
37°C 19%
34°C 10%
ใหม่
$11,585 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,585 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
$598 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$1,762 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$957 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C
$1,221 ปริมาณ
10%
35°C
$2,002 ปริมาณ
38%
36°C
$1,242 ปริมาณ
29%
37°C
$1,135 ปริมาณ
19%
38°C
$1,495 ปริมาณ
8%
39°C
$401 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C
$382 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C or higher
$390 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's tight spread between 35°C and 36°C mirrors the Hong Kong Observatory's August 7 forecast of a 36°C maximum on August 9, driven by subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin that favors extremely hot, mainly fine conditions with isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These convective elements introduce key uncertainty, as early or widespread rain could cap peaks near 35°C while clearer skies push toward or above 36°C. Seasonal forecasts of normal-to-above-normal August temperatures and elevated humidity provide supportive context, but resolution hinges on precise timing of any showers. Traders will watch subsequent HKO updates and model runs for shifts in the expected maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,585วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's tight spread between 35°C and 36°C mirrors the Hong Kong Observatory's August 7 forecast of a 36°C maximum on August 9, driven by subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin that favors extremely hot, mainly fine conditions with isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These convective elements introduce key uncertainty, as early or widespread rain could cap peaks near 35°C while clearer skies push toward or above 36°C. Seasonal forecasts of normal-to-above-normal August temperatures and elevated humidity provide supportive context, but resolution hinges on precise timing of any showers. Traders will watch subsequent HKO updates and model runs for shifts in the expected maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,585วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's tight spread between 35°C and 36°C mirrors the Hong Kong Observatory's August 7 forecast of a 36°C maximum on August 9, driven by subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin that favors extremely hot, mainly fine conditions with isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These convective elements introduce key uncertainty, as early or widespread rain could cap peaks near 35°C while clearer skies push toward or above 36°C. Seasonal forecasts of normal-to-above-normal August temperatures and elevated humidity provide supportive context, but resolution hinges on precise timing of any showers. Traders will watch subsequent HKO updates and model runs for shifts in the expected maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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