Current forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 11 likely settling between 17–19°C, with 18°C emerging as a frequent ensemble member amid ongoing warm advection from the south. Clear skies expected overnight will promote radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds limit mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, yet the current heatwave pattern and higher dew points are elevating the floor. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the tight contest between 17°C and 18°C outcomes, with updated runs ahead of resolution likely to sharpen trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on August 11?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 11?
17°C 28%
18°C 27%
19°C 20%
16°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
14°C or below
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
11%
17°C
28%
18°C
27%
19°C
12%
20°C
7%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
1%
17°C 28%
18°C 27%
19°C 20%
16°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
14°C or below
$26 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
19°C
$31 ปริมาณ
12%
20°C
$12 ปริมาณ
7%
21°C
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
24°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 11 likely settling between 17–19°C, with 18°C emerging as a frequent ensemble member amid ongoing warm advection from the south. Clear skies expected overnight will promote radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds limit mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, yet the current heatwave pattern and higher dew points are elevating the floor. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the tight contest between 17°C and 18°C outcomes, with updated runs ahead of resolution likely to sharpen trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 11 likely settling between 17–19°C, with 18°C emerging as a frequent ensemble member amid ongoing warm advection from the south. Clear skies expected overnight will promote radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds limit mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, yet the current heatwave pattern and higher dew points are elevating the floor. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the tight contest between 17°C and 18°C outcomes, with updated runs ahead of resolution likely to sharpen trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 11 likely settling between 17–19°C, with 18°C emerging as a frequent ensemble member amid ongoing warm advection from the south. Clear skies expected overnight will promote radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds limit mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, yet the current heatwave pattern and higher dew points are elevating the floor. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the tight contest between 17°C and 18°C outcomes, with updated runs ahead of resolution likely to sharpen trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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