Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C and expected to intensify, are elevating baseline temperatures across Malaysia and tilting the market toward a 33°C peak on August 11. Historical August averages for Kuala Lumpur show daytime maxima near 32°C with frequent afternoon convection and thundershowers that often cap readings, creating the tight contest between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Short-term model guidance indicates high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered rainfall that can suppress or permit brief spikes to 34°C, while the low probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the limited historical precedent and strong convective inhibition under typical southwest monsoon patterns. Updated daily forecasts from regional meteorological agencies will provide the key data releases likely to shift trader consensus ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 11?
33°C 42%
32°C 34%
34°C 14%
31°C 10%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
34%
33°C
42%
34°C
14%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 34%
34°C 14%
31°C 10%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
34%
33°C
42%
34°C
14%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C and expected to intensify, are elevating baseline temperatures across Malaysia and tilting the market toward a 33°C peak on August 11. Historical August averages for Kuala Lumpur show daytime maxima near 32°C with frequent afternoon convection and thundershowers that often cap readings, creating the tight contest between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Short-term model guidance indicates high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered rainfall that can suppress or permit brief spikes to 34°C, while the low probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the limited historical precedent and strong convective inhibition under typical southwest monsoon patterns. Updated daily forecasts from regional meteorological agencies will provide the key data releases likely to shift trader consensus ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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