Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows of 22–24°C in Tokyo on August 13, as a persistent Pacific high maintains warm, humid air with increased cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling. Normal August minimums near 23.8°C provide a baseline, while current steering patterns and moisture limit significant drops below 22°C or spikes above 24°C. Forecasters emphasize model consensus on these thresholds ahead of final observational data from Tokyo stations, with any late adjustments to cloud or precipitation timing capable of shifting the recorded minimum within the tightly bunched 22–24°C range dominating trader probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
23°C 41%
24°C 38%
22°C 36%
20°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
11%
21°C
10%
22°C
36%
23°C
41%
24°C
38%
25°C
9%
26°C
7%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 41%
24°C 38%
22°C 36%
20°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$25 ปริมาณ
11%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
27°C
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
28°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows of 22–24°C in Tokyo on August 13, as a persistent Pacific high maintains warm, humid air with increased cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling. Normal August minimums near 23.8°C provide a baseline, while current steering patterns and moisture limit significant drops below 22°C or spikes above 24°C. Forecasters emphasize model consensus on these thresholds ahead of final observational data from Tokyo stations, with any late adjustments to cloud or precipitation timing capable of shifting the recorded minimum within the tightly bunched 22–24°C range dominating trader probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows of 22–24°C in Tokyo on August 13, as a persistent Pacific high maintains warm, humid air with increased cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling. Normal August minimums near 23.8°C provide a baseline, while current steering patterns and moisture limit significant drops below 22°C or spikes above 24°C. Forecasters emphasize model consensus on these thresholds ahead of final observational data from Tokyo stations, with any late adjustments to cloud or precipitation timing capable of shifting the recorded minimum within the tightly bunched 22–24°C range dominating trader probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows of 22–24°C in Tokyo on August 13, as a persistent Pacific high maintains warm, humid air with increased cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling. Normal August minimums near 23.8°C provide a baseline, while current steering patterns and moisture limit significant drops below 22°C or spikes above 24°C. Forecasters emphasize model consensus on these thresholds ahead of final observational data from Tokyo stations, with any late adjustments to cloud or precipitation timing capable of shifting the recorded minimum within the tightly bunched 22–24°C range dominating trader probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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