Latest MetService and ECMWF model guidance for Wellington on August 11 centers daytime maxima near 12–13 °C under overcast skies and light northeasterly flow, aligning with the near-even 47 % / 43.5 % market split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in the timing and strength of a weak cold front, combined with variable low-level stratus and Cook Strait wind channeling, determine whether peak temperatures reach the higher or lower of these thresholds. Seasonal norms place August highs at 12–13 °C, so the current consensus reflects typical winter conditions without strong subtropical ridging or intense southerlies that could push readings outside the narrow 11–14 °C band. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine cloud and wind forecasts, directly influencing resolution between the two leading contracts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 11?
12°C 48%
13°C 44%
14°C 6%
11°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
48%
13°C
44%
14°C
6%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 48%
13°C 44%
14°C 6%
11°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
6°C or below
$503 ปริมาณ
<1%
7°C
$503 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$481 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$350 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$27 ปริมาณ
2%
11°C
$658 ปริมาณ
5%
12°C
$1,030 ปริมาณ
48%
13°C
$1,473 ปริมาณ
44%
14°C
$615 ปริมาณ
6%
15°C
$206 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C or higher
$498 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and ECMWF model guidance for Wellington on August 11 centers daytime maxima near 12–13 °C under overcast skies and light northeasterly flow, aligning with the near-even 47 % / 43.5 % market split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in the timing and strength of a weak cold front, combined with variable low-level stratus and Cook Strait wind channeling, determine whether peak temperatures reach the higher or lower of these thresholds. Seasonal norms place August highs at 12–13 °C, so the current consensus reflects typical winter conditions without strong subtropical ridging or intense southerlies that could push readings outside the narrow 11–14 °C band. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine cloud and wind forecasts, directly influencing resolution between the two leading contracts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,331วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and ECMWF model guidance for Wellington on August 11 centers daytime maxima near 12–13 °C under overcast skies and light northeasterly flow, aligning with the near-even 47 % / 43.5 % market split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in the timing and strength of a weak cold front, combined with variable low-level stratus and Cook Strait wind channeling, determine whether peak temperatures reach the higher or lower of these thresholds. Seasonal norms place August highs at 12–13 °C, so the current consensus reflects typical winter conditions without strong subtropical ridging or intense southerlies that could push readings outside the narrow 11–14 °C band. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine cloud and wind forecasts, directly influencing resolution between the two leading contracts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,331วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService and ECMWF model guidance for Wellington on August 11 centers daytime maxima near 12–13 °C under overcast skies and light northeasterly flow, aligning with the near-even 47 % / 43.5 % market split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in the timing and strength of a weak cold front, combined with variable low-level stratus and Cook Strait wind channeling, determine whether peak temperatures reach the higher or lower of these thresholds. Seasonal norms place August highs at 12–13 °C, so the current consensus reflects typical winter conditions without strong subtropical ridging or intense southerlies that could push readings outside the narrow 11–14 °C band. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine cloud and wind forecasts, directly influencing resolution between the two leading contracts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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