PAGASA's latest extended outlook highlights the southwest monsoon as the dominant driver for Manila on August 12, with forecast highs of 30–33°C amid 30–90% rain chances and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Typical August maxima average near 31°C under these conditions, while urban heat island effects and humidity can amplify perceived warmth without pushing peaks higher. Recent heavy rainfall patterns from the monsoon have kept observed highs in the 28–30°C range, supporting closely matched market-implied odds for 29–31°C outcomes. Short-term model updates from PAGASA and global ensembles will refine steering patterns and convection intensity ahead of resolution, introducing inherent forecast uncertainty in this dynamic tropical regime.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 12?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 12?
30°C 45%
29°C 30%
31°C 28%
28°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
10%
29°C
30%
30°C
29%
31°C
28%
32°C
9%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 45%
29°C 30%
31°C 28%
28°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$11 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C
$46 ปริมาณ
10%
29°C
$1 ปริมาณ
30%
30°C
$10 ปริมาณ
29%
31°C
$29 ปริมาณ
28%
32°C
$189 ปริมาณ
9%
33°C
$204 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C or higher
$100 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest extended outlook highlights the southwest monsoon as the dominant driver for Manila on August 12, with forecast highs of 30–33°C amid 30–90% rain chances and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Typical August maxima average near 31°C under these conditions, while urban heat island effects and humidity can amplify perceived warmth without pushing peaks higher. Recent heavy rainfall patterns from the monsoon have kept observed highs in the 28–30°C range, supporting closely matched market-implied odds for 29–31°C outcomes. Short-term model updates from PAGASA and global ensembles will refine steering patterns and convection intensity ahead of resolution, introducing inherent forecast uncertainty in this dynamic tropical regime.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$627วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest extended outlook highlights the southwest monsoon as the dominant driver for Manila on August 12, with forecast highs of 30–33°C amid 30–90% rain chances and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Typical August maxima average near 31°C under these conditions, while urban heat island effects and humidity can amplify perceived warmth without pushing peaks higher. Recent heavy rainfall patterns from the monsoon have kept observed highs in the 28–30°C range, supporting closely matched market-implied odds for 29–31°C outcomes. Short-term model updates from PAGASA and global ensembles will refine steering patterns and convection intensity ahead of resolution, introducing inherent forecast uncertainty in this dynamic tropical regime.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$627วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest extended outlook highlights the southwest monsoon as the dominant driver for Manila on August 12, with forecast highs of 30–33°C amid 30–90% rain chances and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Typical August maxima average near 31°C under these conditions, while urban heat island effects and humidity can amplify perceived warmth without pushing peaks higher. Recent heavy rainfall patterns from the monsoon have kept observed highs in the 28–30°C range, supporting closely matched market-implied odds for 29–31°C outcomes. Short-term model updates from PAGASA and global ensembles will refine steering patterns and convection intensity ahead of resolution, introducing inherent forecast uncertainty in this dynamic tropical regime.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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