Recent forecast guidance from major models shows Moscow under the influence of cooler northerly flow and increased cloud cover, keeping the August 12 maximum clustered near 17–18 °C. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in predicted frontal timing or daytime insolation create the near-even market split between those two bins, with lower odds on 19 °C reflecting only modest warm-air advection potential. Historical climatology for mid-August places typical highs near 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a noticeable negative anomaly driven by the ongoing synoptic setup. Updated short-range runs and official observations on the day itself will resolve the exact peak temperature within the narrow uncertainty range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 12?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 12?
17°C 35%
18°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
35%
18°C
35%
19°C
14%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
3%
17°C 35%
18°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
12°C or below
$30 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$275 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$270 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$274 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$232 ปริมาณ
9%
17°C
$248 ปริมาณ
35%
18°C
$101 ปริมาณ
35%
19°C
$203 ปริมาณ
14%
20°C
$113 ปริมาณ
4%
21°C
$44 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C or higher
$27 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from major models shows Moscow under the influence of cooler northerly flow and increased cloud cover, keeping the August 12 maximum clustered near 17–18 °C. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in predicted frontal timing or daytime insolation create the near-even market split between those two bins, with lower odds on 19 °C reflecting only modest warm-air advection potential. Historical climatology for mid-August places typical highs near 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a noticeable negative anomaly driven by the ongoing synoptic setup. Updated short-range runs and official observations on the day itself will resolve the exact peak temperature within the narrow uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,816วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from major models shows Moscow under the influence of cooler northerly flow and increased cloud cover, keeping the August 12 maximum clustered near 17–18 °C. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in predicted frontal timing or daytime insolation create the near-even market split between those two bins, with lower odds on 19 °C reflecting only modest warm-air advection potential. Historical climatology for mid-August places typical highs near 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a noticeable negative anomaly driven by the ongoing synoptic setup. Updated short-range runs and official observations on the day itself will resolve the exact peak temperature within the narrow uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,816วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from major models shows Moscow under the influence of cooler northerly flow and increased cloud cover, keeping the August 12 maximum clustered near 17–18 °C. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in predicted frontal timing or daytime insolation create the near-even market split between those two bins, with lower odds on 19 °C reflecting only modest warm-air advection potential. Historical climatology for mid-August places typical highs near 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a noticeable negative anomaly driven by the ongoing synoptic setup. Updated short-range runs and official observations on the day itself will resolve the exact peak temperature within the narrow uncertainty range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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