Trader consensus on the 32–33°C range for Karachi’s peak temperature on August 12 reflects short-term forecast uncertainty typical of the southwest monsoon, when afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and sea-breeze timing can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Latest global model ensembles show a tight spread around these values, with 33°C slightly favored by drier boundary-layer conditions and stronger solar heating if monsoon breaks occur. Key variables include the strength and timing of any embedded low-pressure systems, soil moisture from recent rains, and urban heat-island effects, all of which remain sensitive to the next 48-hour model updates from agencies such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department. Historical August climatology places average highs near 32°C, underscoring why small shifts in moisture or wind keep the two leading outcomes nearly tied.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on August 12?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 12?
33°C 49%
32°C 28%
34°C 12%
31°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
11%
32°C
28%
33°C
49%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 49%
32°C 28%
34°C 12%
31°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
27°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
32°C
$39 ปริมาณ
28%
33°C
$30 ปริมาณ
49%
34°C
$6 ปริมาณ
12%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$12 ปริมาณ
7%
37°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 32–33°C range for Karachi’s peak temperature on August 12 reflects short-term forecast uncertainty typical of the southwest monsoon, when afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and sea-breeze timing can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Latest global model ensembles show a tight spread around these values, with 33°C slightly favored by drier boundary-layer conditions and stronger solar heating if monsoon breaks occur. Key variables include the strength and timing of any embedded low-pressure systems, soil moisture from recent rains, and urban heat-island effects, all of which remain sensitive to the next 48-hour model updates from agencies such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department. Historical August climatology places average highs near 32°C, underscoring why small shifts in moisture or wind keep the two leading outcomes nearly tied.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$135วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 32–33°C range for Karachi’s peak temperature on August 12 reflects short-term forecast uncertainty typical of the southwest monsoon, when afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and sea-breeze timing can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Latest global model ensembles show a tight spread around these values, with 33°C slightly favored by drier boundary-layer conditions and stronger solar heating if monsoon breaks occur. Key variables include the strength and timing of any embedded low-pressure systems, soil moisture from recent rains, and urban heat-island effects, all of which remain sensitive to the next 48-hour model updates from agencies such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department. Historical August climatology places average highs near 32°C, underscoring why small shifts in moisture or wind keep the two leading outcomes nearly tied.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$135วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 32–33°C range for Karachi’s peak temperature on August 12 reflects short-term forecast uncertainty typical of the southwest monsoon, when afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and sea-breeze timing can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Latest global model ensembles show a tight spread around these values, with 33°C slightly favored by drier boundary-layer conditions and stronger solar heating if monsoon breaks occur. Key variables include the strength and timing of any embedded low-pressure systems, soil moisture from recent rains, and urban heat-island effects, all of which remain sensitive to the next 48-hour model updates from agencies such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department. Historical August climatology places average highs near 32°C, underscoring why small shifts in moisture or wind keep the two leading outcomes nearly tied.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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